Regulating disinformation: poll embargo and electoral coordination

This article examines the political consequences of pre–Election Day poll restrictions. Our argument is that laws forbidding the publication of polling results hamper voters’ electoral coordination when the information environment is more complex. We rely on aggregated data from elections in 46 demo...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Lago Peñas, Ignacio, Guinjoan Cesena, Marc, Bermúdez Torres, Sandra
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Data de publicação:2015
País:España
Recursos:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositório:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:10230/48135
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10230/48135
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfv036
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:Coordination
Elections
Embargo
Polls
Wasted votes
Descrição
Resumo:This article examines the political consequences of pre–Election Day poll restrictions. Our argument is that laws forbidding the publication of polling results hamper voters’ electoral coordination when the information environment is more complex. We rely on aggregated data from elections in 46 democracies to show that the number of wasted votes increases in countries with highly fragmented party systems when pre–Election Day polls are restricted. This evidence is supported with individual data from Internet surveys conducted by the Making Electoral Democracy Work project during election campaigns in Canada and Spain.