What They Did Not Tell You About Algebraic (Non-)Existence, Mathematical (IR-)Regularity and (Non-)Asymptotic Properties of the Full BEKK Dynamic Conditional Covariance Model

Persistently high negative covariances between risky assets and hedging instruments are intended to mitigate against risk and subsequent financial losses. In the event of having more than one hedging instrument, multivariate covariances need to be calculated. Optimal hedge ratios are unlikely to rem...

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Bibliographic Details
Author: McAleer, Michael
Format: report
Publication Date:2019
Country:España
Institution:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repository:Docta Complutense
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/17473
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/17473
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:C22
C32
C51
C52
C58
C61
G32
Hedging
Covariances
Existence
Mathematical regularity
Inevitability
Likelihood function
Statistical asymptotic properties
Caveats
Practical implementation.
Economía financiera
Econometría (Economía)
5302 Econometría
Description
Summary:Persistently high negative covariances between risky assets and hedging instruments are intended to mitigate against risk and subsequent financial losses. In the event of having more than one hedging instrument, multivariate covariances need to be calculated. Optimal hedge ratios are unlikely to remain constant using high frequency data, so it is essential to specify dynamic covariance models. These values can either be determined analytically or numerically on the basis of highly advanced computer simulations. Analytical developments are occasionally promulgated for multivariate conditional volatility models. The primary purpose of the paper is to analyse purported analytical developments for the most widely-used multivariate dynamic conditional covariance model to have been developed to date, namely the Full BEKK model of Baba et al. (1985), which was published as Engle and Kroner (1995). Dynamic models are not straightforward (or even possible) to translate in terms of the algebraic existence, underlying stochastic processes, specification, mathematical regularity conditions, and asymptotic properties of consistency and asymptotic normality, or the lack thereof. The paper presents a critical analysis, discussion, evaluation and presentation of caveats relating to the Full BEKK model, and an emphasis on the numerous dos and don’ts in implementing Full BEKK in practice.