Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators; Wang H; Wolock TM; Carter A; Nguyen G; Kyu HH; Gakidou E; Hay SI; Mills EJ; Trickey A; Msemburi W; Coates MM; Mooney MD; Fraser MS; Sligar A; Salomon J; Larson HJ; Friedman J; Abajobir AA; Abate KH; Abbas KM; Razek MM; Abd-Allah F; Abdulle AM; Abera SF; Abubakar I; Abu-Raddad LJ; Abu-Rmeileh NM; Abyu GY; Adebiyi AO; Adedeji IA; Adelekan AL; Adofo K; Adou AK; Ajala ON; Akinyemiju TF; Akseer N; Lami FH; Al-Aly Z; Alam K; Alam NK; Alasfoor D; Aldhahri SF; Aldridge RW; Alegretti MA; Aleman AV; Alemu ZA; Alfonso-Cristancho R; Ali R; Alkerwi A; Alla F; Mohammad R; Al-Raddadi S; Alsharif U; Alvarez E; Alvis-Guzman N; Amare AT; Amberbir A; Amegah AK; Ammar W; Amrock SM; Antonio CA; Anwari P; Ärnlöv J; Artaman A; Asayesh H; Asghar RJ; Assadi R; Atique S; Atkins LS; Avokpaho EF; Awasthi A; Quintanilla BP; Bacha U; Badawi A; Barac A; Bärnighausen T; Basu A; Bayou TA; Bayou YT; Bazargan-Hejazi S; Beardsley J; Bedi N; Bennett DA; Bensenor IM; Betsu BD; Beyene AS; Bhatia E; Bhutta ZA; Biadgilign S; Bikbov B; Birlik SM; Bisanzio D; Brainin M; Brazinova A; Breitborde NJ; Brown A; Burch M; Butt ZA; Campuzano JC; Cárdenas R; Carrero JJ; Castañeda-Orjuela CA; Rivas JC; Catalá-López F; Chang HY; Chang JC; Chavan L; Chen W; Chiang PP; Chibalabala M; Chisumpa VH; Choi JY; Christopher DJ; Ciobanu LG; Cooper C; Dahiru T; Damtew SA; Dandona L; Dandona R; das Neves J; de Jager P; De Leo D; Degenhardt L; Dellavalle RP; Deribe K; Deribew A; Des Jarlais DC; Dharmaratne SD; Ding EL; Doshi PP; Driscoll TR; Dubey M; Elshrek YM; Elyazar I; Endries AY; Ermakov SP; Eshrati B; Esteghamati A; Faghmous ID; Farinha CS; Faro A; Farvid MS; Farzadfar F; Fereshtehnejad SM; Fernandes JC; Fischer F; Fitchett JR; Foigt N; Fullman N; Fürst T; Gankpé FG; Gebre T; Gebremedhin AT; Gebru AA; Geleijnse JM; Gessner BD; Gething PW; Ghiwot TT; Giroud M; Gishu MD; Glaser E; Goenka S; Goodridge A; Gopalani SV; Goto A; Gugnani HC; Guimaraes MD; Gupta R; Gupta V; Haagsma J; Hafezi-Nejad N; Hagan H; Hailu GB; Hamadeh RR; Hamidi S; Hammami M; Hankey GJ; Hao Y; Harb HL; Harikrishnan S; Haro JM; Harun KM; Havmoeller R; Hedayati MT; Heredia-Pi IB; Hoek HW; Horino M; Horita N; Hosgood HD; Hoy DG; Hsairi M; Hu G; Huang H; Huang JJ; Iburg KM; Idrisov BT; Innos K; Iyer VJ; Jacobsen KH; Jahanmehr N; Jakovljevic MB; Javanbakht M; Jayatilleke AU; Jeemon P; Jha V; Jiang G; Jiang Y; Jibat T; Jonas JB; Kabir Z; Kamal R; Kan H; Karch A; Karema CK; Karletsos D; Kasaeian A; Kaul A; Kawakami N; Kayibanda JF; Keiyoro PN; Kemp AH; Kengne AP; Kesavachandran CN; Khader YS; Khalil I; Khan AR; Khan EA; Khang YH; Khubchandani J; Kim YJ; Kinfu Y; Kivipelto M; Kokubo Y; Kosen S; Koul PA; Koyanagi A; Defo BK; Bicer BK; Kulkarni VS; Kumar GA; Lal DK; Lam H; Lam JO; Langan SM; Lansingh VC; Larsson A; Leigh J; Leung R; Li Y; Lim SS; Lipshultz SE; Liu S; Lloyd BK; Logroscino G; Lotufo PA; Lunevicius R; Razek HM; Mahdavi M; Majdan M; Majeed A; Makhlouf C; Malekzadeh R; Mapoma CC; Marcenes W; Martinez-Raga J; Marzan MB; Masiye F; Mason-Jones AJ; Mayosi BM; McKee M; Meaney PA; Mehndiratta MM; Mekonnen AB; Melaku YA; Memiah P; Memish ZA; Mendoza W; Meretoja A; Meretoja TJ; Mhimbira FA; Miller TR; Mikesell J; Mirarefin M; Mohammad KA; Mohammed S; Mokdad AH; Monasta L; Moradi-Lakeh M; Mori R; Mueller UO; Murimira B; Murthy GV; Naheed A; Naldi L; Nangia V; Nash D; Nawaz H; Nejjari C; Ngalesoni FN; de Dieu Ngirabega J; Nguyen QL; Nisar MI; Norheim OF; Norman RE; Nyakarahuka L; Ogbo FA; Oh IH; Ojelabi FA; Olusanya BO; Olusanya JO; Opio JN; Oren E; Ota E; Padukudru MA; Park HY; Park JH; Patil ST; Patten SB; Paul VK; Pearson K; Peprah EK; Pereira CC; Perico N; Pesudovs K; Petzold M; Phillips MR; Pillay JD; Plass D; Polinder S; Pourmalek F; Prokop DM; Qorbani M; Rafay A; Rahimi K; Rahimi-Movaghar V; Rahman M; Rahman MH; Rahman SU; Rai RK; Rajsic S; Ram U; Rana SM; Rao PV; Remuzzi G; Rojas-Rueda D; Ronfani L; Roshandel G; Roy A; Ruhago GM; Saeedi MY; Sagar R; Saleh MM; Sanabria JR; Santos IS; Sarmiento-Suarez R; Sartorius B; Sawhney M; Schutte AE; Schwebel DC; Seedat S; Sepanlou SG; Servan-Mori EE; Shaikh MA; Sharma R; She J; Sheikhbahaei S; Shen J; Shibuya K; Shin HH; Sigfusdottir ID; Silpakit N; Silva DA; Silveira DG; Simard EP; Sindi S; Singh JA; Singh OP; Singh PK; Skirbekk V; Sliwa K; Soneji S; Sorensen RJ; Soriano JB; Soti DO; Sreeramareddy CT; Stathopoulou V; Steel N; Sunguya BF; Swaminathan S; Sykes BL; Tabarés-Seisdedos R; Talongwa RT; Tavakkoli M; Taye B; Tedla BA; Tekle T; Shifa GT; Temesgen AM; Terkawi AS; Tesfay FH; Tessema GA; Thapa K; Thomson AJ; Thorne-Lyman AL; Tobe-Gai R; Topor-Madry R; Towbin JA; Tran BX; Dimbuene ZT; Tsilimparis N; Tura AK; Ukwaja KN; Uneke CJ; Uthman OA; Venketasubramanian N; Vladimirov SK; Vlassov VV; Vollset SE; Wang L; Weiderpass E; Weintraub RG; Werdecker A; Westerman R; Wijeratne T; Wilkinson JD; Wiysonge CS; Wolfe CD; Won S; Wong JQ; Xu G; Yadav AK; Yakob B; Yalew AZ; Yano Y; Yaseri M; Yebyo HG; Yip P; Yonemoto N; Yoon SJ; Younis MZ; Yu C; Yu S; Zaidi Z; Zaki Mel S; Zeeb H; Zhang H; Zhao Y; Zodpey S; Zoeckler L; Zuhlke LJ; Lopez AD; Murray CJ

Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Background Timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral th...

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Autores:	GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators, Wang H, Wolock TM, Carter A, Nguyen G, Kyu HH, Gakidou E, Hay SI, Mills EJ, Trickey A, Msemburi W, Coates MM, Mooney MD, Fraser MS, Sligar A, Salomon J, Larson HJ, Friedman J, Abajobir AA, Abate KH, Abbas KM, Razek MM, Abd-Allah F, Abdulle AM, Abera SF, Abubakar I, Abu-Raddad LJ, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Abyu GY, Adebiyi AO, Adedeji IA, Adelekan AL, Adofo K, Adou AK, Ajala ON, Akinyemiju TF, Akseer N, Lami FH, Al-Aly Z, Alam K, Alam NK, Alasfoor D, Aldhahri SF, Aldridge RW, Alegretti MA, Aleman AV, Alemu ZA, Alfonso-Cristancho R, Ali R, Alkerwi A, Alla F, Mohammad R, Al-Raddadi S, Alsharif U, Alvarez E, Alvis-Guzman N, Amare AT, Amberbir A, Amegah AK, Ammar W, Amrock SM, Antonio CA, Anwari P, Ärnlöv J, Artaman A, Asayesh H, Asghar RJ, Assadi R, Atique S, Atkins LS, Avokpaho EF, Awasthi A, Quintanilla BP, Bacha U, Badawi A, Barac A, Bärnighausen T, Basu A, Bayou TA, Bayou YT, Bazargan-Hejazi S, Beardsley J, Bedi N, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Betsu BD, Beyene AS, Bhatia E, Bhutta ZA, Biadgilign S, Bikbov B, Birlik SM, Bisanzio D, Brainin M, Brazinova A, Breitborde NJ, Brown A, Burch M, Butt ZA, Campuzano JC, Cárdenas R, Carrero JJ, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Rivas JC, Catalá-López F, Chang HY, Chang JC, Chavan L, Chen W, Chiang PP, Chibalabala M, Chisumpa VH, Choi JY, Christopher DJ, Ciobanu LG, Cooper C, Dahiru T, Damtew SA, Dandona L, Dandona R, das Neves J, de Jager P, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Dellavalle RP, Deribe K, Deribew A, Des Jarlais DC, Dharmaratne SD, Ding EL, Doshi PP, Driscoll TR, Dubey M, Elshrek YM, Elyazar I, Endries AY, Ermakov SP, Eshrati B, Esteghamati A, Faghmous ID, Farinha CS, Faro A, Farvid MS, Farzadfar F, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes JC, Fischer F, Fitchett JR, Foigt N, Fullman N, Fürst T, Gankpé FG, Gebre T, Gebremedhin AT, Gebru AA, Geleijnse JM, Gessner BD, Gething PW, Ghiwot TT, Giroud M, Gishu MD, Glaser E, Goenka S, Goodridge A, Gopalani SV, Goto A, Gugnani HC, Guimaraes MD, Gupta R, Gupta V, Haagsma J, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hagan H, Hailu GB, Hamadeh RR, Hamidi S, Hammami M, Hankey GJ, Hao Y, Harb HL, Harikrishnan S, Haro JM, Harun KM, Havmoeller R, Hedayati MT, Heredia-Pi IB, Hoek HW, Horino M, Horita N, Hosgood HD, Hoy DG, Hsairi M, Hu G, Huang H, Huang JJ, Iburg KM, Idrisov BT, Innos K, Iyer VJ, Jacobsen KH, Jahanmehr N, Jakovljevic MB, Javanbakht M, Jayatilleke AU, Jeemon P, Jha V, Jiang G, Jiang Y, Jibat T, Jonas JB, Kabir Z, Kamal R, Kan H, Karch A, Karema CK, Karletsos D, Kasaeian A, Kaul A, Kawakami N, Kayibanda JF, Keiyoro PN, Kemp AH, Kengne AP, Kesavachandran CN, Khader YS, Khalil I, Khan AR, Khan EA, Khang YH, Khubchandani J, Kim YJ, Kinfu Y, Kivipelto M, Kokubo Y, Kosen S, Koul PA, Koyanagi A, Defo BK, Bicer BK, Kulkarni VS, Kumar GA, Lal DK, Lam H, Lam JO, Langan SM, Lansingh VC, Larsson A, Leigh J, Leung R, Li Y, Lim SS, Lipshultz SE, Liu S, Lloyd BK, Logroscino G, Lotufo PA, Lunevicius R, Razek HM, Mahdavi M, Majdan M, Majeed A, Makhlouf C, Malekzadeh R, Mapoma CC, Marcenes W, Martinez-Raga J, Marzan MB, Masiye F, Mason-Jones AJ, Mayosi BM, McKee M, Meaney PA, Mehndiratta MM, Mekonnen AB, Melaku YA, Memiah P, Memish ZA, Mendoza W, Meretoja A, Meretoja TJ, Mhimbira FA, Miller TR, Mikesell J, Mirarefin M, Mohammad KA, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Monasta L, Moradi-Lakeh M, Mori R, Mueller UO, Murimira B, Murthy GV, Naheed A, Naldi L, Nangia V, Nash D, Nawaz H, Nejjari C, Ngalesoni FN, de Dieu Ngirabega J, Nguyen QL, Nisar MI, Norheim OF, Norman RE, Nyakarahuka L, Ogbo FA, Oh IH, Ojelabi FA, Olusanya BO, Olusanya JO, Opio JN, Oren E, Ota E, Padukudru MA, Park HY, Park JH, Patil ST, Patten SB, Paul VK, Pearson K, Peprah EK, Pereira CC, Perico N, Pesudovs K, Petzold M, Phillips MR, Pillay JD, Plass D, Polinder S, Pourmalek F, Prokop DM, Qorbani M, Rafay A, Rahimi K, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman M, Rahman MH, Rahman SU, Rai RK, Rajsic S, Ram U, Rana SM, Rao PV, Remuzzi G, Rojas-Rueda D, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Roy A, Ruhago GM, Saeedi MY, Sagar R, Saleh MM, Sanabria JR, Santos IS, Sarmiento-Suarez R, Sartorius B, Sawhney M, Schutte AE, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Sepanlou SG, Servan-Mori EE, Shaikh MA, Sharma R, She J, Sheikhbahaei S, Shen J, Shibuya K, Shin HH, Sigfusdottir ID, Silpakit N, Silva DA, Silveira DG, Simard EP, Sindi S, Singh JA, Singh OP, Singh PK, Skirbekk V, Sliwa K, Soneji S, Sorensen RJ, Soriano JB, Soti DO, Sreeramareddy CT, Stathopoulou V, Steel N, Sunguya BF, Swaminathan S, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Talongwa RT, Tavakkoli M, Taye B, Tedla BA, Tekle T, Shifa GT, Temesgen AM, Terkawi AS, Tesfay FH, Tessema GA, Thapa K, Thomson AJ, Thorne-Lyman AL, Tobe-Gai R, Topor-Madry R, Towbin JA, Tran BX, Dimbuene ZT, Tsilimparis N, Tura AK, Ukwaja KN, Uneke CJ, Uthman OA, Venketasubramanian N, Vladimirov SK, Vlassov VV, Vollset SE, Wang L, Weiderpass E, Weintraub RG, Werdecker A, Westerman R, Wijeratne T, Wilkinson JD, Wiysonge CS, Wolfe CD, Won S, Wong JQ, Xu G, Yadav AK, Yakob B, Yalew AZ, Yano Y, Yaseri M, Yebyo HG, Yip P, Yonemoto N, Yoon SJ, Younis MZ, Yu C, Yu S, Zaidi Z, Zaki Mel S, Zeeb H, Zhang H, Zhao Y, Zodpey S, Zoeckler L, Zuhlke LJ, Lopez AD, Murray CJ
Tipo de recurso:	artículo
Estado:	Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:	2016
País:	España
Institución:	Fundació Sant Joan de Déu
Repositorio:	r-FSJD. Repositorio Institucional de Producción Científica de la Fundació Sant Joan de Déu
OAI Identifier:	oai:fsjd.fundanetsuite.com:p9975
Acceso en línea:	https://fsjd.fundanetsuite.com/Publicaciones/ProdCientif/PublicacionFrw.aspx?id=9975
Access Level:	acceso abierto
Palabra clave:	PROJECTION PACKAGE SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS UNAIDS ESTIMATION MALE CIRCUMCISION INFECTION PREVENTION MODEL IMPROVEMENTS HIV/AIDS ADULTS

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oai_identifier_str	oai:fsjd.fundanetsuite.com:p9975
network_acronym_str	ES
network_name_str	España
repository_id_str
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
spellingShingle	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators PROJECTION PACKAGE SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS UNAIDS ESTIMATION MALE CIRCUMCISION INFECTION PREVENTION MODEL IMPROVEMENTS HIV/AIDS ADULTS
title_short	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title_full	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title_fullStr	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title_full_unstemmed	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
title_sort	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv	GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators Wang H Wolock TM Carter A Nguyen G Kyu HH Gakidou E Hay SI Mills EJ Trickey A Msemburi W Coates MM Mooney MD Fraser MS Sligar A Salomon J Larson HJ Friedman J Abajobir AA Abate KH Abbas KM Razek MM Abd-Allah F Abdulle AM Abera SF Abubakar I Abu-Raddad LJ Abu-Rmeileh NM Abyu GY Adebiyi AO Adedeji IA Adelekan AL Adofo K Adou AK Ajala ON Akinyemiju TF Akseer N Lami FH Al-Aly Z Alam K Alam NK Alasfoor D Aldhahri SF Aldridge RW Alegretti MA Aleman AV Alemu ZA Alfonso-Cristancho R Ali R Alkerwi A Alla F Mohammad R Al-Raddadi S Alsharif U Alvarez E Alvis-Guzman N Amare AT Amberbir A Amegah AK Ammar W Amrock SM Antonio CA Anwari P Ärnlöv J Artaman A Asayesh H Asghar RJ Assadi R Atique S Atkins LS Avokpaho EF Awasthi A Quintanilla BP Bacha U Badawi A Barac A Bärnighausen T Basu A Bayou TA Bayou YT Bazargan-Hejazi S Beardsley J Bedi N Bennett DA Bensenor IM Betsu BD Beyene AS Bhatia E Bhutta ZA Biadgilign S Bikbov B Birlik SM Bisanzio D Brainin M Brazinova A Breitborde NJ Brown A Burch M Butt ZA Campuzano JC Cárdenas R Carrero JJ Castañeda-Orjuela CA Rivas JC Catalá-López F Chang HY Chang JC Chavan L Chen W Chiang PP Chibalabala M Chisumpa VH Choi JY Christopher DJ Ciobanu LG Cooper C Dahiru T Damtew SA Dandona L Dandona R das Neves J de Jager P De Leo D Degenhardt L Dellavalle RP Deribe K Deribew A Des Jarlais DC Dharmaratne SD Ding EL Doshi PP Driscoll TR Dubey M Elshrek YM Elyazar I Endries AY Ermakov SP Eshrati B Esteghamati A Faghmous ID Farinha CS Faro A Farvid MS Farzadfar F Fereshtehnejad SM Fernandes JC Fischer F Fitchett JR Foigt N Fullman N Fürst T Gankpé FG Gebre T Gebremedhin AT Gebru AA Geleijnse JM Gessner BD Gething PW Ghiwot TT Giroud M Gishu MD Glaser E Goenka S Goodridge A Gopalani SV Goto A Gugnani HC Guimaraes MD Gupta R Gupta R Gupta V Haagsma J Hafezi-Nejad N Hagan H Hailu GB Hamadeh RR Hamidi S Hammami M Hankey GJ Hao Y Harb HL Harikrishnan S Haro JM Harun KM Havmoeller R Hedayati MT Heredia-Pi IB Hoek HW Horino M Horita N Hosgood HD Hoy DG Hsairi M Hu G Huang H Huang JJ Iburg KM Idrisov BT Innos K Iyer VJ Jacobsen KH Jahanmehr N Jakovljevic MB Javanbakht M Jayatilleke AU Jeemon P Jha V Jiang G Jiang Y Jibat T Jonas JB Kabir Z Kamal R Kan H Karch A Karema CK Karletsos D Kasaeian A Kaul A Kawakami N Kayibanda JF Keiyoro PN Kemp AH Kengne AP Kesavachandran CN Khader YS Khalil I Khan AR Khan EA Khang YH Khubchandani J Kim YJ Kinfu Y Kivipelto M Kokubo Y Kosen S Koul PA Koyanagi A Defo BK Bicer BK Kulkarni VS Kumar GA Lal DK Lam H Lam JO Langan SM Lansingh VC Larsson A Leigh J Leung R Li Y Lim SS Lipshultz SE Liu S Lloyd BK Logroscino G Lotufo PA Lunevicius R Razek HM Mahdavi M Majdan M Majeed A Makhlouf C Malekzadeh R Mapoma CC Marcenes W Martinez-Raga J Marzan MB Masiye F Mason-Jones AJ Mayosi BM McKee M Meaney PA Mehndiratta MM Mekonnen AB Melaku YA Memiah P Memish ZA Mendoza W Meretoja A Meretoja TJ Mhimbira FA Miller TR Mikesell J Mirarefin M Mohammad KA Mohammed S Mokdad AH Monasta L Moradi-Lakeh M Mori R Mueller UO Murimira B Murthy GV Naheed A Naldi L Nangia V Nash D Nawaz H Nejjari C Ngalesoni FN de Dieu Ngirabega J Nguyen QL Nisar MI Norheim OF Norman RE Nyakarahuka L Ogbo FA Oh IH Ojelabi FA Olusanya BO Olusanya JO Opio JN Oren E Ota E Padukudru MA Park HY Park JH Patil ST Patten SB Paul VK Pearson K Peprah EK Pereira CC Perico N Pesudovs K Petzold M Phillips MR Pillay JD Plass D Polinder S Pourmalek F Prokop DM Qorbani M Rafay A Rahimi K Rahimi-Movaghar V Rahman M Rahman MH Rahman SU Rai RK Rajsic S Ram U Rana SM Rao PV Remuzzi G Rojas-Rueda D Ronfani L Roshandel G Roy A Ruhago GM Saeedi MY Sagar R Saleh MM Sanabria JR Santos IS Sarmiento-Suarez R Sartorius B Sawhney M Schutte AE Schwebel DC Seedat S Sepanlou SG Servan-Mori EE Shaikh MA Sharma R She J Sheikhbahaei S Shen J Shibuya K Shin HH Sigfusdottir ID Silpakit N Silva DA Silveira DG Simard EP Sindi S Singh JA Singh OP Singh PK Skirbekk V Sliwa K Soneji S Sorensen RJ Soriano JB Soti DO Sreeramareddy CT Stathopoulou V Steel N Sunguya BF Swaminathan S Sykes BL Tabarés-Seisdedos R Talongwa RT Tavakkoli M Taye B Tedla BA Tekle T Shifa GT Temesgen AM Terkawi AS Tesfay FH Tessema GA Thapa K Thomson AJ Thorne-Lyman AL Tobe-Gai R Topor-Madry R Towbin JA Tran BX Dimbuene ZT Tsilimparis N Tura AK Ukwaja KN Uneke CJ Uthman OA Venketasubramanian N Vladimirov SK Vlassov VV Vollset SE Wang L Weiderpass E Weintraub RG Werdecker A Westerman R Wijeratne T Wilkinson JD Wiysonge CS Wolfe CD Won S Wong JQ Xu G Yadav AK Yakob B Yalew AZ Yano Y Yaseri M Yebyo HG Yip P Yonemoto N Yoon SJ Younis MZ Yu C Yu S Zaidi Z Zaki Mel S Zeeb H Zhang H Zhao Y Zodpey S Zoeckler L Zuhlke LJ Lopez AD Murray CJ
author	GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators
author_facet	GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators Wang H Wolock TM Carter A Nguyen G Kyu HH Gakidou E Hay SI Mills EJ Trickey A Msemburi W Coates MM Mooney MD Fraser MS Sligar A Salomon J Larson HJ Friedman J Abajobir AA Abate KH Abbas KM Razek MM Abd-Allah F Abdulle AM Abera SF Abubakar I Abu-Raddad LJ Abu-Rmeileh NM Abyu GY Adebiyi AO Adedeji IA Adelekan AL Adofo K Adou AK Ajala ON Akinyemiju TF Akseer N Lami FH Al-Aly Z Alam K Alam NK Alasfoor D Aldhahri SF Aldridge RW Alegretti MA Aleman AV Alemu ZA Alfonso-Cristancho R Ali R Alkerwi A Alla F Mohammad R Al-Raddadi S Alsharif U Alvarez E Alvis-Guzman N Amare AT Amberbir A Amegah AK Ammar W Amrock SM Antonio CA Anwari P Ärnlöv J Artaman A Asayesh H Asghar RJ Assadi R Atique S Atkins LS Avokpaho EF Awasthi A Quintanilla BP Bacha U Badawi A Barac A Bärnighausen T Basu A Bayou TA Bayou YT Bazargan-Hejazi S Beardsley J Bedi N Bennett DA Bensenor IM Betsu BD Beyene AS Bhatia E Bhutta ZA Biadgilign S Bikbov B Birlik SM Bisanzio D Brainin M Brazinova A Breitborde NJ Brown A Burch M Butt ZA Campuzano JC Cárdenas R Carrero JJ Castañeda-Orjuela CA Rivas JC Catalá-López F Chang HY Chang JC Chavan L Chen W Chiang PP Chibalabala M Chisumpa VH Choi JY Christopher DJ Ciobanu LG Cooper C Dahiru T Damtew SA Dandona L Dandona R das Neves J de Jager P De Leo D Degenhardt L Dellavalle RP Deribe K Deribew A Des Jarlais DC Dharmaratne SD Ding EL Doshi PP Driscoll TR Dubey M Elshrek YM Elyazar I Endries AY Ermakov SP Eshrati B Esteghamati A Faghmous ID Farinha CS Faro A Farvid MS Farzadfar F Fereshtehnejad SM Fernandes JC Fischer F Fitchett JR Foigt N Fullman N Fürst T Gankpé FG Gebre T Gebremedhin AT Gebru AA Geleijnse JM Gessner BD Gething PW Ghiwot TT Giroud M Gishu MD Glaser E Goenka S Goodridge A Gopalani SV Goto A Gugnani HC Guimaraes MD Gupta R Gupta V Haagsma J Hafezi-Nejad N Hagan H Hailu GB Hamadeh RR Hamidi S Hammami M Hankey GJ Hao Y Harb HL Harikrishnan S Haro JM Harun KM Havmoeller R Hedayati MT Heredia-Pi IB Hoek HW Horino M Horita N Hosgood HD Hoy DG Hsairi M Hu G Huang H Huang JJ Iburg KM Idrisov BT Innos K Iyer VJ Jacobsen KH Jahanmehr N Jakovljevic MB Javanbakht M Jayatilleke AU Jeemon P Jha V Jiang G Jiang Y Jibat T Jonas JB Kabir Z Kamal R Kan H Karch A Karema CK Karletsos D Kasaeian A Kaul A Kawakami N Kayibanda JF Keiyoro PN Kemp AH Kengne AP Kesavachandran CN Khader YS Khalil I Khan AR Khan EA Khang YH Khubchandani J Kim YJ Kinfu Y Kivipelto M Kokubo Y Kosen S Koul PA Koyanagi A Defo BK Bicer BK Kulkarni VS Kumar GA Lal DK Lam H Lam JO Langan SM Lansingh VC Larsson A Leigh J Leung R Li Y Lim SS Lipshultz SE Liu S Lloyd BK Logroscino G Lotufo PA Lunevicius R Razek HM Mahdavi M Majdan M Majeed A Makhlouf C Malekzadeh R Mapoma CC Marcenes W Martinez-Raga J Marzan MB Masiye F Mason-Jones AJ Mayosi BM McKee M Meaney PA Mehndiratta MM Mekonnen AB Melaku YA Memiah P Memish ZA Mendoza W Meretoja A Meretoja TJ Mhimbira FA Miller TR Mikesell J Mirarefin M Mohammad KA Mohammed S Mokdad AH Monasta L Moradi-Lakeh M Mori R Mueller UO Murimira B Murthy GV Naheed A Naldi L Nangia V Nash D Nawaz H Nejjari C Ngalesoni FN de Dieu Ngirabega J Nguyen QL Nisar MI Norheim OF Norman RE Nyakarahuka L Ogbo FA Oh IH Ojelabi FA Olusanya BO Olusanya JO Opio JN Oren E Ota E Padukudru MA Park HY Park JH Patil ST Patten SB Paul VK Pearson K Peprah EK Pereira CC Perico N Pesudovs K Petzold M Phillips MR Pillay JD Plass D Polinder S Pourmalek F Prokop DM Qorbani M Rafay A Rahimi K Rahimi-Movaghar V Rahman M Rahman MH Rahman SU Rai RK Rajsic S Ram U Rana SM Rao PV Remuzzi G Rojas-Rueda D Ronfani L Roshandel G Roy A Ruhago GM Saeedi MY Sagar R Saleh MM Sanabria JR Santos IS Sarmiento-Suarez R Sartorius B Sawhney M Schutte AE Schwebel DC Seedat S Sepanlou SG Servan-Mori EE Shaikh MA Sharma R She J Sheikhbahaei S Shen J Shibuya K Shin HH Sigfusdottir ID Silpakit N Silva DA Silveira DG Simard EP Sindi S Singh JA Singh OP Singh PK Skirbekk V Sliwa K Soneji S Sorensen RJ Soriano JB Soti DO Sreeramareddy CT Stathopoulou V Steel N Sunguya BF Swaminathan S Sykes BL Tabarés-Seisdedos R Talongwa RT Tavakkoli M Taye B Tedla BA Tekle T Shifa GT Temesgen AM Terkawi AS Tesfay FH Tessema GA Thapa K Thomson AJ Thorne-Lyman AL Tobe-Gai R Topor-Madry R Towbin JA Tran BX Dimbuene ZT Tsilimparis N Tura AK Ukwaja KN Uneke CJ Uthman OA Venketasubramanian N Vladimirov SK Vlassov VV Vollset SE Wang L Weiderpass E Weintraub RG Werdecker A Westerman R Wijeratne T Wilkinson JD Wiysonge CS Wolfe CD Won S Wong JQ Xu G Yadav AK Yakob B Yalew AZ Yano Y Yaseri M Yebyo HG Yip P Yonemoto N Yoon SJ Younis MZ Yu C Yu S Zaidi Z Zaki Mel S Zeeb H Zhang H Zhao Y Zodpey S Zoeckler L Zuhlke LJ Lopez AD Murray CJ
author_role	author
author2	Wang H Wolock TM Carter A Nguyen G Kyu HH Gakidou E Hay SI Mills EJ Trickey A Msemburi W Coates MM Mooney MD Fraser MS Sligar A Salomon J Larson HJ Friedman J Abajobir AA Abate KH Abbas KM Razek MM Abd-Allah F Abdulle AM Abera SF Abubakar I Abu-Raddad LJ Abu-Rmeileh NM Abyu GY Adebiyi AO Adedeji IA Adelekan AL Adofo K Adou AK Ajala ON Akinyemiju TF Akseer N Lami FH Al-Aly Z Alam K Alam NK Alasfoor D Aldhahri SF Aldridge RW Alegretti MA Aleman AV Alemu ZA Alfonso-Cristancho R Ali R Alkerwi A Alla F Mohammad R Al-Raddadi S Alsharif U Alvarez E Alvis-Guzman N Amare AT Amberbir A Amegah AK Ammar W Amrock SM Antonio CA Anwari P Ärnlöv J Artaman A Asayesh H Asghar RJ Assadi R Atique S Atkins LS Avokpaho EF Awasthi A Quintanilla BP Bacha U Badawi A Barac A Bärnighausen T Basu A Bayou TA Bayou YT Bazargan-Hejazi S Beardsley J Bedi N Bennett DA Bensenor IM Betsu BD Beyene AS Bhatia E Bhutta ZA Biadgilign S Bikbov B Birlik SM Bisanzio D Brainin M Brazinova A Breitborde NJ Brown A Burch M Butt ZA Campuzano JC Cárdenas R Carrero JJ Castañeda-Orjuela CA Rivas JC Catalá-López F Chang HY Chang JC Chavan L Chen W Chiang PP Chibalabala M Chisumpa VH Choi JY Christopher DJ Ciobanu LG Cooper C Dahiru T Damtew SA Dandona L Dandona R das Neves J de Jager P De Leo D Degenhardt L Dellavalle RP Deribe K Deribew A Des Jarlais DC Dharmaratne SD Ding EL Doshi PP Driscoll TR Dubey M Elshrek YM Elyazar I Endries AY Ermakov SP Eshrati B Esteghamati A Faghmous ID Farinha CS Faro A Farvid MS Farzadfar F Fereshtehnejad SM Fernandes JC Fischer F Fitchett JR Foigt N Fullman N Fürst T Gankpé FG Gebre T Gebremedhin AT Gebru AA Geleijnse JM Gessner BD Gething PW Ghiwot TT Giroud M Gishu MD Glaser E Goenka S Goodridge A Gopalani SV Goto A Gugnani HC Guimaraes MD Gupta R Gupta V Haagsma J Hafezi-Nejad N Hagan H Hailu GB Hamadeh RR Hamidi S Hammami M Hankey GJ Hao Y Harb HL Harikrishnan S Haro JM Harun KM Havmoeller R Hedayati MT Heredia-Pi IB Hoek HW Horino M Horita N Hosgood HD Hoy DG Hsairi M Hu G Huang H Huang JJ Iburg KM Idrisov BT Innos K Iyer VJ Jacobsen KH Jahanmehr N Jakovljevic MB Javanbakht M Jayatilleke AU Jeemon P Jha V Jiang G Jiang Y Jibat T Jonas JB Kabir Z Kamal R Kan H Karch A Karema CK Karletsos D Kasaeian A Kaul A Kawakami N Kayibanda JF Keiyoro PN Kemp AH Kengne AP Kesavachandran CN Khader YS Khalil I Khan AR Khan EA Khang YH Khubchandani J Kim YJ Kinfu Y Kivipelto M Kokubo Y Kosen S Koul PA Koyanagi A Defo BK Bicer BK Kulkarni VS Kumar GA Lal DK Lam H Lam JO Langan SM Lansingh VC Larsson A Leigh J Leung R Li Y Lim SS Lipshultz SE Liu S Lloyd BK Logroscino G Lotufo PA Lunevicius R Razek HM Mahdavi M Majdan M Majeed A Makhlouf C Malekzadeh R Mapoma CC Marcenes W Martinez-Raga J Marzan MB Masiye F Mason-Jones AJ Mayosi BM McKee M Meaney PA Mehndiratta MM Mekonnen AB Melaku YA Memiah P Memish ZA Mendoza W Meretoja A Meretoja TJ Mhimbira FA Miller TR Mikesell J Mirarefin M Mohammad KA Mohammed S Mokdad AH Monasta L Moradi-Lakeh M Mori R Mueller UO Murimira B Murthy GV Naheed A Naldi L Nangia V Nash D Nawaz H Nejjari C Ngalesoni FN de Dieu Ngirabega J Nguyen QL Nisar MI Norheim OF Norman RE Nyakarahuka L Ogbo FA Oh IH Ojelabi FA Olusanya BO Olusanya JO Opio JN Oren E Ota E Padukudru MA Park HY Park JH Patil ST Patten SB Paul VK Pearson K Peprah EK Pereira CC Perico N Pesudovs K Petzold M Phillips MR Pillay JD Plass D Polinder S Pourmalek F Prokop DM Qorbani M Rafay A Rahimi K Rahimi-Movaghar V Rahman M Rahman MH Rahman SU Rai RK Rajsic S Ram U Rana SM Rao PV Remuzzi G Rojas-Rueda D Ronfani L Roshandel G Roy A Ruhago GM Saeedi MY Sagar R Saleh MM Sanabria JR Santos IS Sarmiento-Suarez R Sartorius B Sawhney M Schutte AE Schwebel DC Seedat S Sepanlou SG Servan-Mori EE Shaikh MA Sharma R She J Sheikhbahaei S Shen J Shibuya K Shin HH Sigfusdottir ID Silpakit N Silva DA Silveira DG Simard EP Sindi S Singh JA Singh OP Singh PK Skirbekk V Sliwa K Soneji S Sorensen RJ Soriano JB Soti DO Sreeramareddy CT Stathopoulou V Steel N Sunguya BF Swaminathan S Sykes BL Tabarés-Seisdedos R Talongwa RT Tavakkoli M Taye B Tedla BA Tekle T Shifa GT Temesgen AM Terkawi AS Tesfay FH Tessema GA Thapa K Thomson AJ Thorne-Lyman AL Tobe-Gai R Topor-Madry R Towbin JA Tran BX Dimbuene ZT Tsilimparis N Tura AK Ukwaja KN Uneke CJ Uthman OA Venketasubramanian N Vladimirov SK Vlassov VV Vollset SE Wang L Weiderpass E Weintraub RG Werdecker A Westerman R Wijeratne T Wilkinson JD Wiysonge CS Wolfe CD Won S Wong JQ Xu G Yadav AK Yakob B Yalew AZ Yano Y Yaseri M Yebyo HG Yip P Yonemoto N Yoon SJ Younis MZ Yu C Yu S Zaidi Z Zaki Mel S Zeeb H Zhang H Zhao Y Zodpey S Zoeckler L Zuhlke LJ Lopez AD Murray CJ
author2_role	author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv	PROJECTION PACKAGE SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS UNAIDS ESTIMATION MALE CIRCUMCISION INFECTION PREVENTION MODEL IMPROVEMENTS HIV/AIDS ADULTS
topic	PROJECTION PACKAGE SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS UNAIDS ESTIMATION MALE CIRCUMCISION INFECTION PREVENTION MODEL IMPROVEMENTS HIV/AIDS ADULTS
description	Background Timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015. Methods For countries without high-quality vital registration data, we estimated prevalence and incidence with data from antenatal care clinics and population-based seroprevalence surveys, and with assumptions by age and sex on initial CD4 distribution at infection, CD4 progression rates (probability of progression from higher to lower CD4 cell-count category), on and off antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality, and mortality from all other causes. Our estimation strategy links the GBD 2015 assessment of all-cause mortality and estimation of incidence and prevalence so that for each draw from the uncertainty distribution all assumptions used in each step are internally consistent. We estimated incidence, prevalence, and death with GBD versions of the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) and Spectrum software originally developed by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS). We used an open-source version of EPP and recoded Spectrum for speed, and used updated assumptions from systematic reviews of the literature and GBD demographic data. For countries with high-quality vital registration data, we developed the cohort incidence bias adjustment model to estimate HIV incidence and prevalence largely from the number of deaths caused by HIV recorded in cause-of-death statistics. We corrected these statistics for garbage coding and HIV misclassification. Findings Global HIV incidence reached its peak in 1997, at 3.3 million new infections (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3.1-3.4 million). Annual incidence has stayed relatively constant at about 2.6 million per year (range 2.5-2.8 million) since 2005, after a period of fast decline between 1997 and 2005. The number of people living with HIV/AIDS has been steadily increasing and reached 38.8 million (95% UI 37.6-40.4 million) in 2015. At the same time, HIV/AIDS mortality has been declining at a steady pace, from a peak of 1.8 million deaths (95% UI 1.7-1.9 million) in 2005, to 1.2 million deaths (1.1-1.3 million) in 2015. We recorded substantial heterogeneity in the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS across countries. Although many countries have experienced decreases in HIV/AIDS mortality and in annual new infections, other countries have had slowdowns or increases in rates of change in annual new infections. Interpretation Scale-up of ART and prevention of mother-to-child transmission has been one of the great successes of global health in the past two decades. However, in the past decade, progress in reducing new infections has been slow, development assistance for health devoted to HIV has stagnated, and resources for health in low-income countries have grown slowly. Achievement of the new ambitious goals for HIV enshrined in Sustainable Development Goal 3 and the 90-90-90 UNAIDS targets will be challenging, and will need continued efforts from governments and international agencies in the next 15 years to end AIDS by 2030. Copyright (C) The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY license
publishDate	2016
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv	2016
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv	info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format	article
status_str	publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv	https://fsjd.fundanetsuite.com/Publicaciones/ProdCientif/PublicacionFrw.aspx?id=9975
url	https://fsjd.fundanetsuite.com/Publicaciones/ProdCientif/PublicacionFrw.aspx?id=9975
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv	Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv	Inglés
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv	openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv	ELSEVIER INC
publisher.none.fl_str_mv	ELSEVIER INC
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv	Lancet HIV ISSN: 23523018 reponame:r-FSJD. Repositorio Institucional de Producción Científica de la Fundació Sant Joan de Déu instname:Fundació Sant Joan de Déu
instname_str	Fundació Sant Joan de Déu
reponame_str	r-FSJD. Repositorio Institucional de Producción Científica de la Fundació Sant Joan de Déu
collection	r-FSJD. Repositorio Institucional de Producción Científica de la Fundació Sant Joan de Déu
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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spelling	Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015GBD 2015 HIV CollaboratorsWang HWolock TMCarter ANguyen GKyu HHGakidou EHay SIMills EJTrickey AMsemburi WCoates MMMooney MDFraser MSSligar ASalomon JLarson HJFriedman JAbajobir AAAbate KHAbbas KMRazek MMAbd-Allah FAbdulle AMAbera SFAbubakar IAbu-Raddad LJAbu-Rmeileh NMAbyu GYAdebiyi AOAdedeji IAAdelekan ALAdofo KAdou AKAjala ONAkinyemiju TFAkseer NLami FHAl-Aly ZAlam KAlam NKAlasfoor DAldhahri SFAldridge RWAlegretti MAAleman AVAlemu ZAAlfonso-Cristancho RAli RAlkerwi AAlla FMohammad RAl-Raddadi SAlsharif UAlvarez EAlvis-Guzman NAmare ATAmberbir AAmegah AKAmmar WAmrock SMAntonio CAAnwari PÄrnlöv JArtaman AAsayesh HAsghar RJAssadi RAtique SAtkins LSAvokpaho EFAwasthi AQuintanilla BPBacha UBadawi ABarac ABärnighausen TBasu ABayou TABayou YTBazargan-Hejazi SBeardsley JBedi NBennett DABensenor IMBetsu BDBeyene ASBhatia EBhutta ZABiadgilign SBikbov BBirlik SMBisanzio DBrainin MBrazinova ABreitborde NJBrown ABurch MButt ZACampuzano JCCárdenas RCarrero JJCastañeda-Orjuela CARivas JCCatalá-López FChang HYChang JCChavan LChen WChiang PPChibalabala MChisumpa VHChoi JYChristopher DJCiobanu LGCooper CDahiru TDamtew SADandona LDandona Rdas Neves Jde Jager PDe Leo DDegenhardt LDellavalle RPDeribe KDeribew ADes Jarlais DCDharmaratne SDDing ELDoshi PPDriscoll TRDubey MElshrek YMElyazar IEndries AYErmakov SPEshrati BEsteghamati AFaghmous IDFarinha CSFaro AFarvid MSFarzadfar FFereshtehnejad SMFernandes JCFischer FFitchett JRFoigt NFullman NFürst TGankpé FGGebre TGebremedhin ATGebru AAGeleijnse JMGessner BDGething PWGhiwot TTGiroud MGishu MDGlaser EGoenka SGoodridge AGopalani SVGoto AGugnani HCGuimaraes MDGupta RGupta RGupta VHaagsma JHafezi-Nejad NHagan HHailu GBHamadeh RRHamidi SHammami MHankey GJHao YHarb HLHarikrishnan SHaro JMHarun KMHavmoeller RHedayati MTHeredia-Pi IBHoek HWHorino MHorita NHosgood HDHoy DGHsairi MHu GHuang HHuang JJIburg KMIdrisov BTInnos KIyer VJJacobsen KHJahanmehr NJakovljevic MBJavanbakht MJayatilleke AUJeemon PJha VJiang GJiang YJibat TJonas JBKabir ZKamal RKan HKarch AKarema CKKarletsos DKasaeian AKaul AKawakami NKayibanda JFKeiyoro PNKemp AHKengne APKesavachandran CNKhader YSKhalil IKhan ARKhan EAKhang YHKhubchandani JKim YJKinfu YKivipelto MKokubo YKosen SKoul PAKoyanagi ADefo BKBicer BKKulkarni VSKumar GALal DKLam HLam JOLangan SMLansingh VCLarsson ALeigh JLeung RLi YLim SSLipshultz SELiu SLloyd BKLogroscino GLotufo PALunevicius RRazek HMMahdavi MMajdan MMajeed AMakhlouf CMalekzadeh RMapoma CCMarcenes WMartinez-Raga JMarzan MBMasiye FMason-Jones AJMayosi BMMcKee MMeaney PAMehndiratta MMMekonnen ABMelaku YAMemiah PMemish ZAMendoza WMeretoja AMeretoja TJMhimbira FAMiller TRMikesell JMirarefin MMohammad KAMohammed SMokdad AHMonasta LMoradi-Lakeh MMori RMueller UOMurimira BMurthy GVNaheed ANaldi LNangia VNash DNawaz HNejjari CNgalesoni FNde Dieu Ngirabega JNguyen QLNisar MINorheim OFNorman RENyakarahuka LOgbo FAOh IHOjelabi FAOlusanya BOOlusanya JOOpio JNOren EOta EPadukudru MAPark HYPark JHPatil STPatten SBPaul VKPearson KPeprah EKPereira CCPerico NPesudovs KPetzold MPhillips MRPillay JDPlass DPolinder SPourmalek FProkop DMQorbani MRafay ARahimi KRahimi-Movaghar VRahman MRahman MHRahman SURai RKRajsic SRam URana SMRao PVRemuzzi GRojas-Rueda DRonfani LRoshandel GRoy ARuhago GMSaeedi MYSagar RSaleh MMSanabria JRSantos ISSarmiento-Suarez RSartorius BSawhney MSchutte AESchwebel DCSeedat SSepanlou SGServan-Mori EEShaikh MASharma RShe JSheikhbahaei SShen JShibuya KShin HHSigfusdottir IDSilpakit NSilva DASilveira DGSimard EPSindi SSingh JASingh OPSingh PKSkirbekk VSliwa KSoneji SSorensen RJSoriano JBSoti DOSreeramareddy CTStathopoulou VSteel NSunguya BFSwaminathan SSykes BLTabarés-Seisdedos RTalongwa RTTavakkoli MTaye BTedla BATekle TShifa GTTemesgen AMTerkawi ASTesfay FHTessema GAThapa KThomson AJThorne-Lyman ALTobe-Gai RTopor-Madry RTowbin JATran BXDimbuene ZTTsilimparis NTura AKUkwaja KNUneke CJUthman OAVenketasubramanian NVladimirov SKVlassov VVVollset SEWang LWeiderpass EWeintraub RGWerdecker AWesterman RWijeratne TWilkinson JDWiysonge CSWolfe CDWon SWong JQXu GYadav AKYakob BYalew AZYano YYaseri MYebyo HGYip PYonemoto NYoon SJYounis MZYu CYu SZaidi ZZaki Mel SZeeb HZhang HZhao YZodpey SZoeckler LZuhlke LJLopez ADMurray CJPROJECTION PACKAGESYSTEMATIC ANALYSISUNAIDS ESTIMATIONMALE CIRCUMCISIONINFECTIONPREVENTIONMODELIMPROVEMENTSHIV/AIDSADULTSBackground Timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015. Methods For countries without high-quality vital registration data, we estimated prevalence and incidence with data from antenatal care clinics and population-based seroprevalence surveys, and with assumptions by age and sex on initial CD4 distribution at infection, CD4 progression rates (probability of progression from higher to lower CD4 cell-count category), on and off antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality, and mortality from all other causes. Our estimation strategy links the GBD 2015 assessment of all-cause mortality and estimation of incidence and prevalence so that for each draw from the uncertainty distribution all assumptions used in each step are internally consistent. We estimated incidence, prevalence, and death with GBD versions of the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) and Spectrum software originally developed by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS). We used an open-source version of EPP and recoded Spectrum for speed, and used updated assumptions from systematic reviews of the literature and GBD demographic data. For countries with high-quality vital registration data, we developed the cohort incidence bias adjustment model to estimate HIV incidence and prevalence largely from the number of deaths caused by HIV recorded in cause-of-death statistics. We corrected these statistics for garbage coding and HIV misclassification. Findings Global HIV incidence reached its peak in 1997, at 3.3 million new infections (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3.1-3.4 million). Annual incidence has stayed relatively constant at about 2.6 million per year (range 2.5-2.8 million) since 2005, after a period of fast decline between 1997 and 2005. The number of people living with HIV/AIDS has been steadily increasing and reached 38.8 million (95% UI 37.6-40.4 million) in 2015. At the same time, HIV/AIDS mortality has been declining at a steady pace, from a peak of 1.8 million deaths (95% UI 1.7-1.9 million) in 2005, to 1.2 million deaths (1.1-1.3 million) in 2015. We recorded substantial heterogeneity in the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS across countries. Although many countries have experienced decreases in HIV/AIDS mortality and in annual new infections, other countries have had slowdowns or increases in rates of change in annual new infections. Interpretation Scale-up of ART and prevention of mother-to-child transmission has been one of the great successes of global health in the past two decades. However, in the past decade, progress in reducing new infections has been slow, development assistance for health devoted to HIV has stagnated, and resources for health in low-income countries have grown slowly. Achievement of the new ambitious goals for HIV enshrined in Sustainable Development Goal 3 and the 90-90-90 UNAIDS targets will be challenging, and will need continued efforts from governments and international agencies in the next 15 years to end AIDS by 2030. Copyright (C) The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY licenseELSEVIER INC2016info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttps://fsjd.fundanetsuite.com/Publicaciones/ProdCientif/PublicacionFrw.aspx?id=9975Lancet HIVISSN: 23523018reponame:r-FSJD. Repositorio Institucional de Producción Científica de la Fundació Sant Joan de Déuinstname:Fundació Sant Joan de DéuInglésinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:fsjd.fundanetsuite.com:p99752026-05-27T12:37:41Z
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Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

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