Market Value and Agents Benefits of Enhanced Short-Term Solar PV Power Generation Forecasting

[EN] Renewable energy sources such as PV solar or wind power are intermittent and non-dispatchable. Massive integration of these resources into the electric mix poses some challenges to meeting power generation with demand. Hence, improving power generation forecasting has raised much interest. This...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Manso-Burgos, Álvaro, Ribó-Pérez, David Gabriel|||0000-0003-1089-5197, Gómez-Navarro, Tomás|||0000-0001-6114-2414, Mateo-Barcos, Sergio, Carnero, Pablo
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
Repositorio:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/199464
Acceso en línea:https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/199464
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Solar forecasting
Market value
Energy market
Balancing market
Energy arbitrage
PROYECTOS DE INGENIERIA
07.- Asegurar el acceso a energías asequibles, fiables, sostenibles y modernas para todos
11.- Conseguir que las ciudades y los asentamientos humanos sean inclusivos, seguros, resilientes y sostenibles
13.- Tomar medidas urgentes para combatir el cambio climático y sus efectos
Descripción
Sumario:[EN] Renewable energy sources such as PV solar or wind power are intermittent and non-dispatchable. Massive integration of these resources into the electric mix poses some challenges to meeting power generation with demand. Hence, improving power generation forecasting has raised much interest. This work assesses the market value of enhanced PV solar power generation forecasting. Then, we analyse the different agents present in the electricity system. We link the studied agents to the proposed market values based on both analyses. Improving the accuracy of RES forecasting has massive potential as the sector grows and new agents arise. It can have reactive values like reducing imbalances or proactive values such as participating in intraday markets or exercising energy arbitrage. However, accurate forecasting can also lead to opportunistic values that can be exploited by malicious agents if they are not adequately regulated.