Sampling simulation in a virtual ocean reveals strong sampling effect in marine diversity patterns

Aim Undersampling and other sources of sampling bias pose significant issues in marine macroecology, particularly when shaping conservation and management decisions. Yet, determining the extent to which such biases impact our understanding of marine diversity remains elusive. Here, utilising empiric...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Menegotto Domingos, André, Tittensor, Derek P, Colwell, Robert K., Rangel, Thiago F.
Format: article
Publication Date:2024
Country:España
Institution:Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
Repository:Biblos-e Archivo. Repositorio Institucional de la UAM
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.uam.es:10486/741120
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10486/741120
https://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geb.13952
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Biodiversity gradient
computer simulation
knowledge gaps
macroecology
marine biodiversity
richness estimate
sampling bias
species distribution
Wallacean shortfall
Biología y Biomedicina / Biología
Description
Summary:Aim Undersampling and other sources of sampling bias pose significant issues in marine macroecology, particularly when shaping conservation and management decisions. Yet, determining the extent to which such biases impact our understanding of marine diversity remains elusive. Here, utilising empirical data on sampling efforts, we sampled from virtually established species distributions to evaluate how deep is the influence of sampling bias on estimations of the latitudinal gradient in marine diversity. Location Atlantic Ocean. Time Period Present. Taxa Studied Ophiuroidea. Methods We developed a computer simulation that implements two null models of species distribution (the geometric constraints and the area model) in a two-dimensional domain, replicates the latitudinal distribution of historical sampling efforts and then quantifies diversity metrics (observed and estimated species richness) and sample completeness for each grid cell and latitudinal band. Results We found consistent patterns of observed species richness across models, noting peaks at midlatitudes regardless of whether the true richness was unimodal or flat. Dips in equatorial diversity persisted even after using different methods of species richness estimation. Additional simulations showed that estimators' accuracy improved with increased sampling efforts, but only when samples were randomly distributed. Spatially aggregated samples inflate completeness without necessarily enhancing estimators' accuracy. Main Conclusions This finding emphasises the imperative of bolstering sampling efforts at tropical latitudes and deploying robust statistical techniques to mitigate undersampling effects. Meanwhile, we suggest considering sampling bias as an alternative null hypothesis for recorded marine diversity patterns