Non‑linear Cointegration Test, Based on Record Counting Statistic

This paper proposes a new procedure for cointegration tests, as traditional tests fail to detect the presence of nonlinearities in cointegrated series. The two-step Engle and Granger (EG) test is modified by incorporating the RUR and FB-RUR tests of Aparicio et al. (2006). These non-parametric tests...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Atil, Lynda, Fellag, Hocine, Sipols, Ana E., Santos Martín, M.T, Simón de Blas, Clara
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
Repositorio:BURJC-Digital. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
OAI Identifier:oai:burjcdigital.urjc.es:10115/39778
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10115/39778
Access Level:acceso embargado
Palabra clave:Cointegration test
Monte Carlo
Time Series
Error Correction Model
Descripción
Sumario:This paper proposes a new procedure for cointegration tests, as traditional tests fail to detect the presence of nonlinearities in cointegrated series. The two-step Engle and Granger (EG) test is modified by incorporating the RUR and FB-RUR tests of Aparicio et al. (2006). These non-parametric tests, based on functions of order statistics, exhibit desirable properties such as invariance to nonlinear transformations of the series and robustness to significant parameter shifts. Furthermore, no prior estimation of the cointegrating parameter is required, resulting in parameter-free asymptotic null distributions. Monte Carlo simulations are used to evaluate the test’s properties and power at different sample sizes, demonstrating their ability to detect cointegration in real exchange rate relationships where standard cointegration tests fail.