On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections
Producción Científica
| Autores: | , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2024 |
| País: | España |
| Recursos: | Universidad de Valladolid |
| Repositorio: | UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:uvadoc.uva.es:10324/67332 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15010128 https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67332 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palavra-chave: | Mountain lee waves CMIP6 Meteorology Global climate models Climatology SSP5-8.5 España - Clima Atmospheric sciences 2509 Meteorología 2502 Climatología 2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera |
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On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projectionsDíaz Fernández, JavierCalvo Sancho, CarlosBolgiani, PedroGonzález Alemán, Juan JesúsFarrán Martín, José IgnacioSastre Marugan, MaríanoMartín Pérez, María LuisaMountain lee wavesCMIP6MeteorologyGlobal climate modelsClimatologySSP5-8.5España - ClimaAtmospheric sciences2509 Meteorología2502 Climatología2501 Ciencias de la AtmósferaProducción CientíficaMountain lee waves present significant hazards to aviation, often inducing turbulence and aircraft icing. The current study focuses on understanding the potential impact of global climate change on the precursor environments to mountain lee wave cloud episodes over central Iberia. We examine the suitability of several Global Climate Models (GCMs) from CMIP6 in predicting these environments using the ERA5 reanalysis as a benchmark for performance. The dataset is divided into two periods: historical data (2001–2014) and projections for the SSP5–8.5 future climate scenario (2015–2100). The variations and trends in precursor environments between historical data and future climate scenarios are exposed, with a particular focus on the expansion of the Azores High towards the Iberian Peninsula, resulting in increased zonal winds throughout the Iberian Peninsula in the future. However, the increase in zonal wind is insufficient to modify the wind pattern, so future mountain lee wave cloud events will not vary significantly. The relative humidity trends reveal no significant changes. Moreover, the risk of icing precursor environments connected with mountain lee wave clouds is expected to decrease in the future, due to rising temperatures. Our results highlight that the EC-EARTH3 GCM reveals the closest alignment with ERA5 data, and statistically significant differences between the historical and future climate scenario periods are presented, making EC-EARTH3 a robust candidate for conducting future studies on the precursor environments to mountain lee wave cloud events.Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación/Agencia Estatal de Investigación (AEI)/10.13039/501100011033 - (project PID2019-105306RB-I00)MDPI2024info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15010128https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67332reponame:UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolidinstname:Universidad de ValladolidIngléshttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/15/1/128info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/oai:uvadoc.uva.es:10324/673322026-06-13T12:44:47Z |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections |
| title |
On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections |
| spellingShingle |
On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections Díaz Fernández, Javier Mountain lee waves CMIP6 Meteorology Global climate models Climatology SSP5-8.5 España - Clima Atmospheric sciences 2509 Meteorología 2502 Climatología 2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera |
| title_short |
On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections |
| title_full |
On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections |
| title_fullStr |
On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections |
| title_full_unstemmed |
On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections |
| title_sort |
On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Díaz Fernández, Javier Calvo Sancho, Carlos Bolgiani, Pedro González Alemán, Juan Jesús Farrán Martín, José Ignacio Sastre Marugan, Maríano Martín Pérez, María Luisa |
| author |
Díaz Fernández, Javier |
| author_facet |
Díaz Fernández, Javier Calvo Sancho, Carlos Bolgiani, Pedro González Alemán, Juan Jesús Farrán Martín, José Ignacio Sastre Marugan, Maríano Martín Pérez, María Luisa |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Calvo Sancho, Carlos Bolgiani, Pedro González Alemán, Juan Jesús Farrán Martín, José Ignacio Sastre Marugan, Maríano Martín Pérez, María Luisa |
| author2_role |
author author author author author author |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Mountain lee waves CMIP6 Meteorology Global climate models Climatology SSP5-8.5 España - Clima Atmospheric sciences 2509 Meteorología 2502 Climatología 2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera |
| topic |
Mountain lee waves CMIP6 Meteorology Global climate models Climatology SSP5-8.5 España - Clima Atmospheric sciences 2509 Meteorología 2502 Climatología 2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera |
| description |
Producción Científica |
| publishDate |
2024 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2024 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
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article |
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publishedVersion |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15010128 https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67332 |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15010128 https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67332 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
Inglés |
| language_invalid_str_mv |
Inglés |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/15/1/128 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
| eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
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application/pdf |
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
MDPI |
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MDPI |
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reponame:UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid instname:Universidad de Valladolid |
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Universidad de Valladolid |
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UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid |
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UVaDOC. Repositorio Documental de la Universidad de Valladolid |
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15.301603 |