The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)

Sea-level rise (SLR)-induced erosion will contribute significantly to the reduction of the surface of beaches worldwide. In the absence of adaptation measures, this implies a decrease in the recreational carrying capacity provided by beaches, which in turn could significantly affect the economies of...

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Autores: Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401, López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683X, Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/365587
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/365587
https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106034
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Sea level -- Mediterranean Sea
Sea-level rise
Economy
Coastal tourism
Shoreline erosion
GDP
Input-output analysis
Nivell del mar -- Mediterrània, Mar
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
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spelling The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683XJiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684Sea level -- Mediterranean SeaSea-level riseEconomyCoastal tourismShoreline erosionGDPInput-output analysisNivell del mar -- Mediterrània, MarÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costesSea-level rise (SLR)-induced erosion will contribute significantly to the reduction of the surface of beaches worldwide. In the absence of adaptation measures, this implies a decrease in the recreational carrying capacity provided by beaches, which in turn could significantly affect the economies of the areas associated with the “sun-and-beach” tourism model. Here, we propose a methodology to assess the demand-side economic impact by applying an input/output analysis, assuming that the beach carrying capacity is linked to the potential tourism demand, and consequently, to tourism consumption and output. Moreover, to properly evaluate the spatial variations in the impact throughout the territory, the effects are downscaled to the county level using a set of location coefficients. The model is applied to Catalonia, one of the most visited coastal regions in the Mediterranean. Here tourism contributes approximately 11% of its gross domestic product (GDP) and most visitors are related to coastal tourism. Although SLR affects the entire region with relatively small spatial variations in the induced shoreline retreat, its impact on the beach carrying capacity per county and the number of potential users exhibits a large spatial variability. Considering the RCP8.5 scenario as a reference, Catalonia's key coastal tourism brands, Costa Brava and Costa Daurada, will be the most affected economically, with an expected GDP loss of approximately 2200 million € and 1820 million € (at 2019 values), respectively. Finally, these local estimations were used to identify where the greatest benefits/returns would be derived from implementing adaptation measures to the SLR. This analysis was done by normalising the GDP losses that could be avoided in each county, with the length of beaches needed to provide recreation services to sustain the tourism economy.This work was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (MINECO/AEI/FEDER, UE) in the framework of the M-CostAdapt project (CTM2017-83655-C2-1-R).Peer Reviewed20222022-03-0120222022-04-08journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2117/365587https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106034reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCinstname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)InglésengAgencia Estatal de Investigación http://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016 CTM2017-83655-C2-1-R RUTAS DE ADAPTACION AL CAMBIO CLIMATICO EN LA ZONA COSTERA MEDITERRANEA. SUPERANDO LOS LIMITES DE LA ADAPTABILIDADopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/3655872026-05-27T15:37:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
title The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
spellingShingle The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401
Sea level -- Mediterranean Sea
Sea-level rise
Economy
Coastal tourism
Shoreline erosion
GDP
Input-output analysis
Nivell del mar -- Mediterrània, Mar
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
title_short The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
title_full The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
title_fullStr The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
title_full_unstemmed The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
title_sort The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401
López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683X
Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684
author Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401
author_facet Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401
López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683X
Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684
author_role author
author2 López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683X
Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Sea level -- Mediterranean Sea
Sea-level rise
Economy
Coastal tourism
Shoreline erosion
GDP
Input-output analysis
Nivell del mar -- Mediterrània, Mar
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
topic Sea level -- Mediterranean Sea
Sea-level rise
Economy
Coastal tourism
Shoreline erosion
GDP
Input-output analysis
Nivell del mar -- Mediterrània, Mar
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
description Sea-level rise (SLR)-induced erosion will contribute significantly to the reduction of the surface of beaches worldwide. In the absence of adaptation measures, this implies a decrease in the recreational carrying capacity provided by beaches, which in turn could significantly affect the economies of the areas associated with the “sun-and-beach” tourism model. Here, we propose a methodology to assess the demand-side economic impact by applying an input/output analysis, assuming that the beach carrying capacity is linked to the potential tourism demand, and consequently, to tourism consumption and output. Moreover, to properly evaluate the spatial variations in the impact throughout the territory, the effects are downscaled to the county level using a set of location coefficients. The model is applied to Catalonia, one of the most visited coastal regions in the Mediterranean. Here tourism contributes approximately 11% of its gross domestic product (GDP) and most visitors are related to coastal tourism. Although SLR affects the entire region with relatively small spatial variations in the induced shoreline retreat, its impact on the beach carrying capacity per county and the number of potential users exhibits a large spatial variability. Considering the RCP8.5 scenario as a reference, Catalonia's key coastal tourism brands, Costa Brava and Costa Daurada, will be the most affected economically, with an expected GDP loss of approximately 2200 million € and 1820 million € (at 2019 values), respectively. Finally, these local estimations were used to identify where the greatest benefits/returns would be derived from implementing adaptation measures to the SLR. This analysis was done by normalising the GDP losses that could be avoided in each county, with the length of beaches needed to provide recreation services to sustain the tourism economy.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022
2022-03-01
2022
2022-04-08
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv journal article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
VoR
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/2117/365587
https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106034
url https://hdl.handle.net/2117/365587
https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106034
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Agencia Estatal de Investigación http://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016 CTM2017-83655-C2-1-R RUTAS DE ADAPTACION AL CAMBIO CLIMATICO EN LA ZONA COSTERA MEDITERRANEA. SUPERANDO LOS LIMITES DE LA ADAPTABILIDAD
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
instname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
instname_str Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
reponame_str UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
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