The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)
Sea-level rise (SLR)-induced erosion will contribute significantly to the reduction of the surface of beaches worldwide. In the absence of adaptation measures, this implies a decrease in the recreational carrying capacity provided by beaches, which in turn could significantly affect the economies of...
| Autores: | , , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2022 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) |
| Repositorio: | UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/365587 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/2117/365587 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106034 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Sea level -- Mediterranean Sea Sea-level rise Economy Coastal tourism Shoreline erosion GDP Input-output analysis Nivell del mar -- Mediterrània, Mar Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes |
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The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain)Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683XJiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684Sea level -- Mediterranean SeaSea-level riseEconomyCoastal tourismShoreline erosionGDPInput-output analysisNivell del mar -- Mediterrània, MarÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costesSea-level rise (SLR)-induced erosion will contribute significantly to the reduction of the surface of beaches worldwide. In the absence of adaptation measures, this implies a decrease in the recreational carrying capacity provided by beaches, which in turn could significantly affect the economies of the areas associated with the “sun-and-beach” tourism model. Here, we propose a methodology to assess the demand-side economic impact by applying an input/output analysis, assuming that the beach carrying capacity is linked to the potential tourism demand, and consequently, to tourism consumption and output. Moreover, to properly evaluate the spatial variations in the impact throughout the territory, the effects are downscaled to the county level using a set of location coefficients. The model is applied to Catalonia, one of the most visited coastal regions in the Mediterranean. Here tourism contributes approximately 11% of its gross domestic product (GDP) and most visitors are related to coastal tourism. Although SLR affects the entire region with relatively small spatial variations in the induced shoreline retreat, its impact on the beach carrying capacity per county and the number of potential users exhibits a large spatial variability. Considering the RCP8.5 scenario as a reference, Catalonia's key coastal tourism brands, Costa Brava and Costa Daurada, will be the most affected economically, with an expected GDP loss of approximately 2200 million € and 1820 million € (at 2019 values), respectively. Finally, these local estimations were used to identify where the greatest benefits/returns would be derived from implementing adaptation measures to the SLR. This analysis was done by normalising the GDP losses that could be avoided in each county, with the length of beaches needed to provide recreation services to sustain the tourism economy.This work was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (MINECO/AEI/FEDER, UE) in the framework of the M-CostAdapt project (CTM2017-83655-C2-1-R).Peer Reviewed20222022-03-0120222022-04-08journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2117/365587https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106034reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCinstname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)InglésengAgencia Estatal de Investigación http://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016 CTM2017-83655-C2-1-R RUTAS DE ADAPTACION AL CAMBIO CLIMATICO EN LA ZONA COSTERA MEDITERRANEA. SUPERANDO LOS LIMITES DE LA ADAPTABILIDADopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/3655872026-05-27T15:37:01Z |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain) |
| title |
The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain) |
| spellingShingle |
The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain) Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401 Sea level -- Mediterranean Sea Sea-level rise Economy Coastal tourism Shoreline erosion GDP Input-output analysis Nivell del mar -- Mediterrània, Mar Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes |
| title_short |
The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain) |
| title_full |
The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain) |
| title_fullStr |
The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain) |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain) |
| title_sort |
The economic impact of sea level rise-induced decrease in the carrying capacity of Catalan beaches (NW Mediterranean, Spain) |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401 López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683X Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684 |
| author |
Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401 |
| author_facet |
Garola Crespo, Àlvar|||0000-0002-1135-9401 López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683X Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684 |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
López-Doriga Sandoval, Uxía|||0000-0002-9236-683X Jiménez Quintana, José Antonio|||0000-0003-0900-4684 |
| author2_role |
author author |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Sea level -- Mediterranean Sea Sea-level rise Economy Coastal tourism Shoreline erosion GDP Input-output analysis Nivell del mar -- Mediterrània, Mar Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes |
| topic |
Sea level -- Mediterranean Sea Sea-level rise Economy Coastal tourism Shoreline erosion GDP Input-output analysis Nivell del mar -- Mediterrània, Mar Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes |
| description |
Sea-level rise (SLR)-induced erosion will contribute significantly to the reduction of the surface of beaches worldwide. In the absence of adaptation measures, this implies a decrease in the recreational carrying capacity provided by beaches, which in turn could significantly affect the economies of the areas associated with the “sun-and-beach” tourism model. Here, we propose a methodology to assess the demand-side economic impact by applying an input/output analysis, assuming that the beach carrying capacity is linked to the potential tourism demand, and consequently, to tourism consumption and output. Moreover, to properly evaluate the spatial variations in the impact throughout the territory, the effects are downscaled to the county level using a set of location coefficients. The model is applied to Catalonia, one of the most visited coastal regions in the Mediterranean. Here tourism contributes approximately 11% of its gross domestic product (GDP) and most visitors are related to coastal tourism. Although SLR affects the entire region with relatively small spatial variations in the induced shoreline retreat, its impact on the beach carrying capacity per county and the number of potential users exhibits a large spatial variability. Considering the RCP8.5 scenario as a reference, Catalonia's key coastal tourism brands, Costa Brava and Costa Daurada, will be the most affected economically, with an expected GDP loss of approximately 2200 million € and 1820 million € (at 2019 values), respectively. Finally, these local estimations were used to identify where the greatest benefits/returns would be derived from implementing adaptation measures to the SLR. This analysis was done by normalising the GDP losses that could be avoided in each county, with the length of beaches needed to provide recreation services to sustain the tourism economy. |
| publishDate |
2022 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022 2022-03-01 2022 2022-04-08 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
journal article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 VoR http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
| dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| format |
article |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
https://hdl.handle.net/2117/365587 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106034 |
| url |
https://hdl.handle.net/2117/365587 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2022.106034 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
Inglés eng |
| language_invalid_str_mv |
Inglés |
| language |
eng |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Agencia Estatal de Investigación http://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016 CTM2017-83655-C2-1-R RUTAS DE ADAPTACION AL CAMBIO CLIMATICO EN LA ZONA COSTERA MEDITERRANEA. SUPERANDO LOS LIMITES DE LA ADAPTABILIDAD |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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openAccess |
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application/pdf |
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reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC instname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) |
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