Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them

Dentro del número especial " Integration of Remote Sensing Information in the Analyses of the Dynamic of Water Resources Systems".

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Hidalgo Hidalgo, José David, Collados Lara, Antonio Juan, Pulido Velázquez, David, Rueda, Francisco J., Pardo-Igúzquiza, Eulogio
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Institución:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repositorio:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:dnet:digitalcsic_::6ab946737b071bf1d459f4e0bc8cd028
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/426148
https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85128257262
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Statistical corrections
Climate change
Drought analysis
ensemble of scenarios
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dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them
title Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them
spellingShingle Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them
Hidalgo Hidalgo, José David
Statistical corrections
Climate change
Drought analysis
ensemble of scenarios
title_short Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them
title_full Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them
title_fullStr Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them
title_sort Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between Them
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Hidalgo Hidalgo, José David
Collados Lara, Antonio Juan
Pulido Velázquez, David
Rueda, Francisco J.
Pardo-Igúzquiza, Eulogio
author Hidalgo Hidalgo, José David
author_facet Hidalgo Hidalgo, José David
Collados Lara, Antonio Juan
Pulido Velázquez, David
Rueda, Francisco J.
Pardo-Igúzquiza, Eulogio
author_role author
author2 Collados Lara, Antonio Juan
Pulido Velázquez, David
Rueda, Francisco J.
Pardo-Igúzquiza, Eulogio
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)
European Commission
Junta de Andalucía
Universidad de Granada
Pulido Velázquez, David [0000-0001-7985-0769]
Pardo-Igúzquiza, Eulogio [0000-0002-3865-8639]
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Statistical corrections
Climate change
Drought analysis
ensemble of scenarios
topic Statistical corrections
Climate change
Drought analysis
ensemble of scenarios
description Dentro del número especial " Integration of Remote Sensing Information in the Analyses of the Dynamic of Water Resources Systems".
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022
2026
2026
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
Publisher's version
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10261/426148
https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85128257262
url http://hdl.handle.net/10261/426148
https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85128257262
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
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info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/RTI2018-101397-B-I00
https://doi.org/10.3390/w14071081
Sí
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
instname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
instname_str Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
reponame_str DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
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spelling Analysis of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Climatic Droughts, Snow Dynamics, and the Correlation between ThemHidalgo Hidalgo, José DavidCollados Lara, Antonio JuanPulido Velázquez, DavidRueda, Francisco J.Pardo-Igúzquiza, EulogioStatistical correctionsClimate changeDrought analysisensemble of scenariosDentro del número especial " Integration of Remote Sensing Information in the Analyses of the Dynamic of Water Resources Systems".38 p.[EN] Climate change is expected to increase the occurrence of droughts, with the hydrology in alpine systems being largely determined by snow dynamics. In this paper, we propose a methodology to assess the impact of climate change on both meteorological and hydrological droughts, taking into account the dynamics of the snow cover area (SCA). We also analyze the correlation between these types of droughts. We generated ensembles of local climate scenarios based on regional climate models (RCMs) representative of potential future conditions. We considered several sources of uncertainty: different historical climate databases, simulations obtained with several RCMs, and some statistical downscaling techniques. We then used a stochastic weather generator (SWG) to generate multiple climatic series preserving the characteristics of the ensemble scenario. These were simulated within a cellular automata (CA) model to generate multiple SCA future series. They were used to calculate multiple series of meteorological drought indices, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and a novel hydrological drought index (Standardized Snow Cover Index (SSCI)). Linear correlation analysis was applied to both types of drought to analyze how they propagate and the time delay between them. We applied the proposed methodology to the Sierra Nevada (southern Spain), where we estimated a general increase in meteorological and hydrological drought magnitude and duration for the horizon 2071–2100 under the RCP 8.5 emission scenario. The SCA droughts also revealed a significant increase in drought intensity. The meteorological drought propagation to SCA droughts was reflected in an immediate or short time (1 month), obtaining significant correlations in lower accumulation periods of drought indices (3 and 6 months). This allowed us to obtain information about meteorological drought from SCA deficits and vice versa.This research was partially supported by the research project SIGLO-AN (RTI2018-101397-B-I00) from the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities (Programa Estatal de ICDCI orientado a los Retos de la Sociedad), the GeoE.171.008.TACTIC from the GeoERA organization funded by European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program and the Regional Ministry of Economic Transformation, Industry, Knowledge and Universities of the Regional Government of Andalusia through the postdoc program of the Andalusian Plan for Research Development and Innovation (PAIDI 2021) (POSTDOC_21_00154, University of Granada, Antonio-Juan Collados-Lara).Peer reviewedMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing InstituteMinisterio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)European CommissionJunta de AndalucíaUniversidad de GranadaPulido Velázquez, David [0000-0001-7985-0769]Pardo-Igúzquiza, Eulogio [0000-0002-3865-8639]Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]202620262022info:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Publisher's versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10261/426148https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85128257262reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSICinstname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)Inglés#PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/RTI2018-101397-B-I00https://doi.org/10.3390/w14071081Síinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:dnet:digitalcsic_::6ab946737b071bf1d459f4e0bc8cd0282026-05-22T06:33:51Z
score 15,812429

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