Post-growth
Existing climate mitigation scenarios assume future rates of economic growth that are significantly higher than what has been experienced in the recent past. In this article we explore how assuming lower rates of growth, in line with the hypothesis of secular stagnation, changes the range of mitigat...
| Autores: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2024 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
| Repositorio: | Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ddd.uab.cat:286525 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://ddd.uab.cat/record/286525 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Post-growth Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios |
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Post-growthA viable path to limiting global warming to 1.5°CSlameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331Kallis, Giorgos|||0000-0003-0688-9552O'neill, Daniel W.Hickel, Jason|||0000-0002-7490-9757Post-growthLow growthDegrowthClimate changeMitigation scenariosPost-pandemic scenariosExisting climate mitigation scenarios assume future rates of economic growth that are significantly higher than what has been experienced in the recent past. In this article we explore how assuming lower rates of growth, in line with the hypothesis of secular stagnation, changes the range of mitigation possibilities. We compare scenarios with moderate and strong policy ambition under both high-growth and low-growth assumptions. The results show that low growth makes it more feasible to decrease emissions in a way that is consistent with 1.5°C-2°C of warming. Moreover, low growth reduces the need to rely on unprecedented buildout of low-carbon energy infrastructure, and the unprecedented rates of energy-GDP decoupling that characterize existing scenarios. By contrast, pursuing higher growth rates, such as those represented in IMF projections, jeapordizes the Paris Agreement. The challenge is that lower growth is commonly associated with recession, which raises concerns about equity between and within countries, social stability, and the ability to finance a low-carbon energy transition. Recent literature on achieving a ''post-growth'' transition points to novel policies that could address these problems, which should be explored and evaluated in future mitigation scenarios. 22024-01-0120242024-01-01Articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://ddd.uab.cat/record/286525https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004reponame:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UABinstname:Universitat Autònoma de BarcelonaInglésengEuropean Commission https://doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 101071647Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 MDM-2015-0552open accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, i la comunicació pública de l'obra, sempre que no sigui amb finalitats comercials, i sempre que es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. No es permet la creació d'obres derivades.https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:ddd.uab.cat:2865252026-06-06T12:50:31Z |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Post-growth A viable path to limiting global warming to 1.5°C |
| title |
Post-growth |
| spellingShingle |
Post-growth Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 Post-growth Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios |
| title_short |
Post-growth |
| title_full |
Post-growth |
| title_fullStr |
Post-growth |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Post-growth |
| title_sort |
Post-growth |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 Kallis, Giorgos|||0000-0003-0688-9552 O'neill, Daniel W. Hickel, Jason|||0000-0002-7490-9757 |
| author |
Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 |
| author_facet |
Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 Kallis, Giorgos|||0000-0003-0688-9552 O'neill, Daniel W. Hickel, Jason|||0000-0002-7490-9757 |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Kallis, Giorgos|||0000-0003-0688-9552 O'neill, Daniel W. Hickel, Jason|||0000-0002-7490-9757 |
| author2_role |
author author author |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Post-growth Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios |
| topic |
Post-growth Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios |
| description |
Existing climate mitigation scenarios assume future rates of economic growth that are significantly higher than what has been experienced in the recent past. In this article we explore how assuming lower rates of growth, in line with the hypothesis of secular stagnation, changes the range of mitigation possibilities. We compare scenarios with moderate and strong policy ambition under both high-growth and low-growth assumptions. The results show that low growth makes it more feasible to decrease emissions in a way that is consistent with 1.5°C-2°C of warming. Moreover, low growth reduces the need to rely on unprecedented buildout of low-carbon energy infrastructure, and the unprecedented rates of energy-GDP decoupling that characterize existing scenarios. By contrast, pursuing higher growth rates, such as those represented in IMF projections, jeapordizes the Paris Agreement. The challenge is that lower growth is commonly associated with recession, which raises concerns about equity between and within countries, social stability, and the ability to finance a low-carbon energy transition. Recent literature on achieving a ''post-growth'' transition points to novel policies that could address these problems, which should be explored and evaluated in future mitigation scenarios. |
| publishDate |
2024 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2 2024-01-01 2024 2024-01-01 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
Article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 VoR http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
| dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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article |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
https://ddd.uab.cat/record/286525 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004 |
| url |
https://ddd.uab.cat/record/286525 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
Inglés eng |
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Inglés |
| language |
eng |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
European Commission https://doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 101071647 Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 MDM-2015-0552 |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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openAccess |
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application/pdf |
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reponame:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB instname:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
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Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
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Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
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Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
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