Analysis of trends in disaster risk

We follow the United Nations Sendai (2015) framework for the reduction of disaster risk to go beyond traditional impact measures and compute the Sendai targets for individual risk and property risk . We show that individual risk is 'very likely' falling between 1970 and 2019 while property...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Boccard, Nicolas
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:10256/24747
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10256/24747
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Catàstrofes naturals -- Avaluació del risc
Avaluació del risc
Risc
Natural disasters -- Risk assessment
Risk assessment
Risk
Assegurances de catàstrofes
Disaster insurance
Descripción
Sumario:We follow the United Nations Sendai (2015) framework for the reduction of disaster risk to go beyond traditional impact measures and compute the Sendai targets for individual risk and property risk . We show that individual risk is 'very likely' falling between 1970 and 2019 while property risk is 'likely' falling between 1980 and 2019 ; additionally, the related financial risk, faced by insurers, is increasing over the same period with 'virtually certainty'. We underscore the greater burden befalling developing economies over the long run , since individual and property risk are respectively 2 and 3 times larger than in the OECD. Singular assessments for Bangladesh, Switzerland and the USA are used to show melioration and convergence but also the limits of our global analysis