Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices

We evaluate causal dependencies between thirteen indices that represent large-scale climate patterns (El Nino/Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacifc Decadal Oscillation, etc.) using a recently proposed approach based on a linear approximation of the transfer entropy. We dem...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Silini, Riccardo, Tirabassi, Giulio|||0000-0002-8028-9005, Barreiro Parrillo, Marcelo, Masoller Alonso, Cristina|||0000-0003-0768-2019, Ferranti, Laura
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Recursos:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/379385
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/379385
https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06562-0
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Climatology
Time--Systems and standards
Entropy
Dynamic climatology
ENSO
North Atlantic Oscillation
Pacifc Decadal Oscillation
Causality
Transfer entropy
Climatologia
Temps--Sistemes i mesures
Entropia
Climatologia dinàmica
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Física
Descrição
Resumo:We evaluate causal dependencies between thirteen indices that represent large-scale climate patterns (El Nino/Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacifc Decadal Oscillation, etc.) using a recently proposed approach based on a linear approximation of the transfer entropy. We demonstrate that this methodology identifes causal relations that are well-known, as well as it uncovers some relations which, to the best of our knowledge, have not yet been reported in the literature. We also identify signifcant changes in causal dependencies that have occurred in the last three decades.