A Bayesian Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) to Generate Synthetic Time-Series Data, Application In Combined Sewer Flow Prediction

[EN] Despite various breakthroughs of machine learning and data analysis techniques for improving smart operation and management of urban water infrastructures, some key limitations obstruct this progress. Among these shortcomings, the absence of freely available data due to data privacy or high cos...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Bakhshipour, Amin, Koochali, Alireza, Dittmer, Ulrich, Haghighi, Ali, Ahmed, Sheraz, Dengel, Andreas
Tipo de recurso: capítulo de libro
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
Repositorio:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/205935
Acceso en línea:https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/205935
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Machine Learning
Urban Water Infrastructures
Generative Adversarial Networks
Time Series Prediction
Synthetic time series generation
Combined Sewer Flow Prediction
Descripción
Sumario:[EN] Despite various breakthroughs of machine learning and data analysis techniques for improving smart operation and management of urban water infrastructures, some key limitations obstruct this progress. Among these shortcomings, the absence of freely available data due to data privacy or high costs of data gathering and the nonexistence of adequate rare or extreme events in the available data plays a crucial role. Here, the Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) can help overcome these challenges. In machine learning, generative models are a class of methods capable of learning data distribution to generate artificial data. In this study, we developed a GAN model to generate synthetic time series to balance our limited recorded time series data and improve the accuracy of a data-driven model for combined sewer flow prediction. We considered the sewer system of a small town in Germany as the test case. Precipitation and inflow to the storage tanks are used for the Data-Driven model development. The aim is to predict the flow using precipitation data and examine the impact of data augmentation using synthetic data in model performance. Results show that GAN can successfully generate synthetic time series from real data distribution, which helps more accurate peak flow prediction. However, the model without data augmentation works better for dry weather prediction. Therefore, an ensemble model is suggested to combine the advantages of both models.