Basis risk management and randomly scaled uncertainty

This paper proposes a method for quantifying the basis risk present in index-based insurance. It applies when the inherent uncertainty is represented by a randomly scaled variable. This turns out to be a reasonable assumption in a number of practical situations. Several properties of such a variable...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Claramunt Bielsa, M. Mercè, Lefèvre, Claude, Loisel, Stéphane, Montesinos, Pierre
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Data de publicação:2022
País:España
Recursos:Universidad de Barcelona
Repositório:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
OAI Identifier:oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/191965
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/191965
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:Risc (Assegurances)
Funcions convexes
Incertesa
Variables aleatòries
Risk (Insurance)
Convex functions
Uncertainty
Random variables
Descrição
Resumo:This paper proposes a method for quantifying the basis risk present in index-based insurance. It applies when the inherent uncertainty is represented by a randomly scaled variable. This turns out to be a reasonable assumption in a number of practical situations. Several properties of such a variable are first briefly studied. Their order in the s-convex sense is discussed and the associated extreme distributions are obtained to generate the worst situations. In each scenario, the basis risk consequences are then assessed using a penalty function that takes into account the risk tolerances of the protection buyer. Basis risk limits for a fixed budget can also be set. The proposed approach is illustrated by a few simple examples.