Tracking the Characteristics of Economic Growth Vulnerability to COVID-19: A Preliminary Analysis

In response to the global expansion of COVID-19, governments around the world have implemented social distancing measures resulting in an unprecedented fall in economic activity. Consequently, the economic growth forecasts for 2020 have been adjusted downward in most countries, yet the magnitude of...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Carrasco, Carlos Alberto, Tovar García, Edgar Demetrio
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Huelva (UHU)
Repositorio:Arias Montano. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Huelva
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ariasmontano.uhu.es:10272/19274
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10272/19274
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:: COVID-19
Economic growth forecasts
Macroeconomic policy
Economic structure
Pronósticos de crecimiento económico
Política macroeconómica
Estructura económica
Descripción
Sumario:In response to the global expansion of COVID-19, governments around the world have implemented social distancing measures resulting in an unprecedented fall in economic activity. Consequently, the economic growth forecasts for 2020 have been adjusted downward in most countries, yet the magnitude of the decline has been different. In this article, we examine the economic vulnerability to COVID-19 -measured as the change in GDP growth forecasts for 2020- and its determinants for a sample of 194 countries. We identify the characteristics of the external sector and macroeconomic policy stance that are associated with an increase in economic vulnerability during the pandemic