Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests

© 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Domingo, Darío, Vicente Serrano, Sergio M., Gómez, Cristina, Olano Mendoza, José Miguel, Sangüesa-Barreda, G.
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versão publicada
Data de publicação:2024
País:España
Recursos:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repositório:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/354604
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/354604
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:Mediterranean forests
Warming-up trend
Heat events
Drought
Thaumetopoea pityocampa
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dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests
title Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests
spellingShingle Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests
Domingo, Darío
Mediterranean forests
Warming-up trend
Heat events
Drought
Thaumetopoea pityocampa
title_short Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests
title_full Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests
title_fullStr Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests
title_full_unstemmed Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests
title_sort Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forests
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Domingo, Darío
Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.
Gómez, Cristina
Olano Mendoza, José Miguel
Sangüesa-Barreda, G.
author Domingo, Darío
author_facet Domingo, Darío
Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.
Gómez, Cristina
Olano Mendoza, José Miguel
Sangüesa-Barreda, G.
author_role author
author2 Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.
Gómez, Cristina
Olano Mendoza, José Miguel
Sangüesa-Barreda, G.
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Junta de Castilla y León
Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España)
Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)
European Commission
Vicente Serrano, Sergio M. [0000-0003-2892-518X]
Sangüesa-Barreda, G. [0000-0002-7722-2424]
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Mediterranean forests
Warming-up trend
Heat events
Drought
Thaumetopoea pityocampa
topic Mediterranean forests
Warming-up trend
Heat events
Drought
Thaumetopoea pityocampa
description © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024
2024
2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
Publisher's version
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10261/354604
url http://hdl.handle.net/10261/354604
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2020-118444GA-I00
Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.; Tomás-Burguera, Miquel; Beguería, Santiago; Reig-Gracia, Fergus; Latorre, Borja; Peña-Gallardo, Marina; Luna, M. Yolanda; Morata, Ana; González-Hidalgo, José C.; 2017; A High Resolution Dataset of Drought Indices for Spain [Dataset]; MDPI; https://doi.org/10.3390/data2030022
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2024.121695

dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier BV
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier BV
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
instname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
instname_str Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
reponame_str DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
collection DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
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spelling Summer heat waves could counterbalance the increasing incidence of pine processionary due to warmer winters in Mediterranean pine forestsDomingo, DaríoVicente Serrano, Sergio M.Gómez, CristinaOlano Mendoza, José MiguelSangüesa-Barreda, G.Mediterranean forestsWarming-up trendHeat eventsDroughtThaumetopoea pityocampa© 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)Global warming modulates the spatial and temporal occurrence of insect outbreaks, leading to as-yet-unknown effects on forests ecosystems. Warmer trends may favour the upward and northward expansion of pests, albeit increased exposure to heat events and droughts may also hamper insect growth and development. Thus far, further research is needed about the balance of climate warming on pine processionary moth (PPM) (Thaumetopoea pityocampa) development stages, especially at broader scales, despite being the main conifer-defoliating insect in the Mediterranean area. This research analyses the relationships of PPM with the climatic conditions during its most vulnerable development phases in Spain to provide base-information for forest managers. We hypothesize that warmer winter temperatures will increase PPM growth at their larval feeding stage, whereas summer-heat events will reduce PPM rates from egg and early larval stages, leading to counterbalanced effects of climate warming. Furthermore, we expect dry springs will allow an earlier development of PPM and higher incidence of outbreaks. To analyse climate effects on PPM populations in Andalusia, Castilla-La Mancha, and Navarre (37 to 42°N), we compiled information from the Regional Forest Services comprising up to 26 years of monitoring data from 2465 forest stands dominated by Pinus nigra and Pinus sylvestris. We fitted Cumulative Link Mixed Models (CLMM) to test the climate effects on four PPM defoliation severity levels. Our results support higher PPM larvae survival and incidence due to warmer winter conditions, but also the reduction of PPM population size under summer heat conditions. Particularly, the increasing incidence associated to warmer winters during the larval defoliating stage is counterbalanced by the decreasing population at earlier life stages during summer heat events. Spring drought also plays an important role on PPM incidence rates, but its effect is idiosyncratic to each region, suggesting an adaptation of PPM populations to regional conditions, claiming to tailor-made forest management endeavours. This study reveals that a better comprehension of abiotic effects along the whole PPM life cycle is paramount to understand the impact of climate warming on insect outbreaks which shorten wood production and carbon sequestration of Mediterranean forests.Jose Miguel Olano reports financial support was provided by Junta de Castilla y León Government OUTBREAK (VA171P20). Gabriel Sanguesa-Barreda reports financial support was provided by Spain Ministry of Science and Innovation PROWARM (PID2020-118444GA-I00). Dario Domingo reports financial support was provided by European Union-Next Generation EU Margarita Salas (MS-240621). Gabriel Sanguesa-Barreda reports financial support was provided by Spain Ministry of Science and Innovation (IJC2019-040571-I).Peer reviewedElsevier BVJunta de Castilla y LeónAgencia Estatal de Investigación (España)Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)European CommissionVicente Serrano, Sergio M. [0000-0003-2892-518X]Sangüesa-Barreda, G. [0000-0002-7722-2424]Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]202420242024info:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Publisher's versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10261/354604reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSICinstname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)Inglés#PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2020-118444GA-I00Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.; Tomás-Burguera, Miquel; Beguería, Santiago; Reig-Gracia, Fergus; Latorre, Borja; Peña-Gallardo, Marina; Luna, M. Yolanda; Morata, Ana; González-Hidalgo, José C.; 2017; A High Resolution Dataset of Drought Indices for Spain [Dataset]; MDPI; https://doi.org/10.3390/data2030022https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2024.121695Síinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:digital.csic.es:10261/3546042026-05-22T06:33:51Z
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