Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we study the epidemic size of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, SIR,...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Nadini, Matthieu, Sun, Kaiyuan, Ubaldi, Enrico, Starnini, Michele|||0000-0002-9161-5339, Rizzo, Alessandro, Perra, Nicola
Format: article
Publication Date:2018
Country:España
Institution:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repository:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/374955
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/374955
https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Epidemics
Numerical analysis
Epidèmies
Anàlisi numèrica
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Física
Description
Summary:We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we study the epidemic size of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, SIR, models and the epidemic threshold of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible, SIS, models. Interestingly, we find that while the presence of tightly connected clusters inhibits SIR processes, it speeds up SIS phenomena. In this case, we observe that modular structures induce a reduction of the threshold with respect to time-varying networks without communities. We confirm the theoretical results by means of extensive numerical simulations both on synthetic graphs as well as on a real modular and temporal network.