How large is the corporate tax base erosion and profit shifting? A general equilibrium approach

The paper uses the computable general equilibrium model CORTAX to analyse the extent of base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS) in the EU, Japan and the US. Our approach estimates the direct fiscal losses of BEPS and accounts for the second round effects, in particular on the cost of capital and cor...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Alvarez Martínez, María Teresa, Barrios, Salvador, d'Andria, Diego, Gesualdo, Maria, Nicodeme, Gaetan, Pycroft, Jonathan
Tipo de documento: artigo
Data de publicação:2021
País:España
Recursos:Universidad Pablo de Olavide (UPO)
Repositório:RIO. Repositorio Institucional Olavide
Idioma:inglês
OAI Identifier:oai:rio.upo.es:10433/26155
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/10433/26155
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:BEPS
Corporate Taxation
Profit shifting
Tax avoidance
Cge model
Descrição
Resumo:The paper uses the computable general equilibrium model CORTAX to analyse the extent of base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS) in the EU, Japan and the US. Our approach estimates the direct fiscal losses of BEPS and accounts for the second round effects, in particular on the cost of capital and corporate investment. Our central estimates show that the net corporate tax revenue losses in the EU are €36.0 billion per year (7.7% of CIT revenues), e24.0 billion in Japan and €100.8 billion in the US (in both cases representing 10.7% of corporate tax revenues). Our estimates are comparable in size to the global tax revenue losses found using newly reported statistics on foreign affiliates. Our macroeconomic results suggest that eliminating profit shifting would slightly reduce investment and GDP and rise corporate tax revenues, which would positively affect welfare.