Sovereign-Bank linkages: Quantifying directional intensity of risk transfers in EMU countries

This study attempts to identify and trace inter-linkages between sovereign and banking risk for each main country in the euro area. To this end, we use an indicator of banking sector risk in each country based on the Contingent Claim Analysis literature, and 10-year government yield spreads over Ger...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Singh, Manish Kumar, Gómez-Puig, Marta, Sosvilla Rivero, Simón
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2016
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/106563
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/106563
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Risc (Economia)
Bancs
Països de la Unió Europea
Deute
Crisis financeres
Risk
Banks
European Union countries
Debt
Financial crises
Descripción
Sumario:This study attempts to identify and trace inter-linkages between sovereign and banking risk for each main country in the euro area. To this end, we use an indicator of banking sector risk in each country based on the Contingent Claim Analysis literature, and 10-year government yield spreads over Germany as a measure of sovereign risk. We apply a dynamic approach to test for Granger causality between the two measures of risk in each country, allowing us to check for episodes of significant and abrupt increase in short-run causal linkages. The empirical results indicate that episodes of causality intensification vary considerably in both directions over time and across the different EMU countries. The directionality suggests the presence of causality intensification, mainly from banks to sovereigns in crisis periods.