Forecasting linear dynamical systems using subspace methods

A new procedure to predict with subspace methods is presented in this paper. It is based on combining multiple forecasts obtained from setting a range of values for a specic parameter that is typically xed by the user in the subspace methods literature. An algorithm to compute these predictions and...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: García Hiernaux, Alfredo Alejandro
Tipo de recurso: informe técnico
Fecha de publicación:2009
País:España
Institución:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/56673
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/56673
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:C53
C22
E27
Forecasting
Subspace methods
Combining forecasts.
Finanzas
Descripción
Sumario:A new procedure to predict with subspace methods is presented in this paper. It is based on combining multiple forecasts obtained from setting a range of values for a specic parameter that is typically xed by the user in the subspace methods literature. An algorithm to compute these predictions and to obtain a suitable number of combinations is provided. The procedure is illustrated by forecasting the German gross domestic product.