An adversarial risk analysis framework for software release decision support

Recent artificial intelligence (AI) risk management frameworks and regulations place stringent quality constraints on AI systems to be deployed in an increasingly competitive environment. Thus, from a software engineering point of view, a major issue is deciding when to release an AI system to the m...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Soyer, R., Ruggeri, F., Insua, D.R., Pierce, C., Guevara, C.
Format: article
Status:Versión enviada para evaluación y publicación
Publication Date:2025
Country:España
Institution:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repository:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/422249
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/422249
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85217169050&doi=10.1111%2Frisa.17711&partnerID=40&md5=52a9d31034b1f7d9cd28cd7df3cbdd5d
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Adversarial risk analysis
Artificial intelligence
Risk analysis
Software engineering
Strategic analysis
Description
Summary:Recent artificial intelligence (AI) risk management frameworks and regulations place stringent quality constraints on AI systems to be deployed in an increasingly competitive environment. Thus, from a software engineering point of view, a major issue is deciding when to release an AI system to the market. This problem is complex due to, among other features, the uncertainty surrounding the AI system's reliability and safety as reflected through its faults, the various cost items involved, and the presence of competitors. A novel general adversarial risk analysis framework with multiple agents of two types (producers and buyers) is proposed to support an AI system developer in deciding when to release a product. The implementation of the proposed framework is illustrated with an example and extensions to cases with multiple producers and multiple buyers are discussed. © 2025 Society for Risk Analysis.