Improvement of transmission line ampacity utilization via machine learning-based dynamic line rating prediction

Transmission system operators operate overhead lines in power transmission networks by using thermal ratings calculated under static conditions. These static assumptions sometimes lead a network to work outside the range of safe conditions, and sometimes to work underutilized. For this reason, the u...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Fernández Martínez, Roberto, Alberdi Muiño, Rafael, Fernández Herrero, Elvira, Albizu Flórez, Igor, Bedialauneta Landaribar, Miren Terese
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Universidad del País Vasco
Repositorio:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
OAI Identifier:oai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/69617
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10810/69617
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:ampacity prediction
machine learning
feature selection
line rating
overhead line
safe operating conditions
Descripción
Sumario:Transmission system operators operate overhead lines in power transmission networks by using thermal ratings calculated under static conditions. These static assumptions sometimes lead a network to work outside the range of safe conditions, and sometimes to work underutilized. For this reason, the use of dynamic ratings, which depend on the meteorological conditions of the region under study and thus are more adaptable and better able to ensure optimal operation, has become common. The main drawbacks of these dynamic rating calculations are that to perform day-ahead network scheduling, the ampacity must be known in advance, and unlike static ratings, dynamic ratings are complex to predict due to their great variability. This work defines a methodology based on machine learning techniques that enables the prediction of the ampacity of overhead transmission lines to facilitate the adjustment and optimization of the amount of energy that can be safely transmitted through a network. The results have been validated with real data gathered by sensors from an overhead line. In conclusion, the safety and working conditions of power lines can be improved by applying the selected models, since the number of periods working out of safe conditions can be reduced approximately from 18 % to 5 %.