Modelling the Renewable Transition: scenarios and pathways for a decarbonised future using pymedeas, a new open-source energy systems model

This paper reviews different approaches to modelling the energy transition towards a zero carbon economy. It identifies a number of limitations in current approaches such as a lack of consideration of out-of-equilibrium situations (like an energy transition) and non-linear feedbacks. To tackle those...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Solé Ollé, Jordi, Samsó, Roger, García Ladona, E., García Olivares, Antonio, Ballabrera Poy, Joaquim, Madurell, T., Turiel, A., Osychenko, O., Álvarez, D., Bardi, Ugo, Baumann, Martin, Buchmann, K., Capellán Pérez, Í, Cerny, M., Carpintero, Ó., De Blas, I., De Castro, C., De Lathouwer, J. D., Duce, C., Eggler, Lukas, Enríquez, J.M., Falsini, S., Feng, K., Ferreras, N., Frechoso, F., Hubacek, K., Jones, Aled, Kaclíková, R., Kershner, C., Kimmich, C., Lobejón, L.F., Lomas, P.L., Martelloni, Gianluca, Mediavilla, M., Miguel, L.J., Natalini, Davide, Nieto, J., Nikolaev, Angel, Parrado, G., Papagianni, S.
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/174506
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/174506
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Indústries energètiques
Primeres matèries
Canvi climàtic
Combustibles fòssils
Energy industries
Raw materials
Climatic change
Fossil fuels
Descripción
Sumario:This paper reviews different approaches to modelling the energy transition towards a zero carbon economy. It identifies a number of limitations in current approaches such as a lack of consideration of out-of-equilibrium situations (like an energy transition) and non-linear feedbacks. To tackle those issues, the new open source integrated assessment model pymedeas is introduced, which allows the exploration of the design and planning of appropriate strategies and policies for decarbonizing the energy sector at World and EU level. The main novelty of the new open-source model is that it addresses the energy transition by considering biophysical limits, availability of raw materials, and climate change impacts. This paper showcases the model capabilities through several simulation experiments to explore alternative pathways for the renewable transition. In the selected scenarios of this work, future shortage of fossil fuels is found to be the most influential factor of the simulations system evolution. Changes in efficiency and climate change damages are also important determinants influencing model outcomes.

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