Analysing flash flood risk perception through a geostatistical approach in the village of Navaluenga, Central Spain

Flash floods are unexpected events, which evolve rapidly and affect relatively small areas. The short time available for minimising risks requires preparedness and active response. In this context of risk management, the flood risk perception of the local population is the first step towards achievi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Guardiola Albert, Carolina, Díez Herrero, Andrés, Amérigo, M., Bodoque, José María, Garcia, Juan Antonio, Naranjo Fernández, Nuria, Aroca-Jimenez, Estefanía
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Institución:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repositorio:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/277260
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/277260
https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12590
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:flash flood
natural flood management
resilience
risk communication
provincia Ávila
Descripción
Sumario:Flash floods are unexpected events, which evolve rapidly and affect relatively small areas. The short time available for minimising risks requires preparedness and active response. In this context of risk management, the flood risk perception of the local population is the first step towards achieving resilience of people and communities. Although flood risk perception has intrinsic spatial variability, few previous studies take this into account. This paper explores the spatial variability of flash flood risk perception in the village of Navaluenga in Central Spain, using nonparametric and multivariate geostatistical tools. How local people perceived the flash flood risk to their homes was assessed interviewing a representative sample. Results show that considering these flash flood risk related spatial vari ables enhances people's psychological interpretation of risk perception: the per ception of flash flood risk in a short time event is congruent with those spatial variables. These findings determine priority areas for future risk communication plans. They could also be extrapolated to other urban areas with a similar hydro graphic configuration, when there is a flood hazard from a main river and poten tially flooded minor water courses, which are even closer to houses but are not considered dangerous by the local population.