Theoretical conditions for the coexistence of viral strains with differences in phenotypic traits

We investigate the dynamics of a wild-type viral strain which generates mutant strains differing in phenotypic properties for infectivity, virulence and mutation rates. We study, by means of a mathematical model and bifurcation analysis, conditions under which the wild-type and mutant viruses, which...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Nurtay, Anel|||0000-0001-7107-1656, Hennessy, Matthew G.|||0000-0002-5928-6256, Sardanyés, Josep|||0000-0001-7225-5158, Alsedà, Lluís|||0000-0001-9908-1063, Elena, Santiago F.|||0000-0001-8249-5593
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:España
Institución:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:221297
Acceso en línea:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/221297
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1098/rsos.181179
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Bifurcations
Epidemiology
Infection dynamics
Mathematical biology
Virus evolution
Descripción
Sumario:We investigate the dynamics of a wild-type viral strain which generates mutant strains differing in phenotypic properties for infectivity, virulence and mutation rates. We study, by means of a mathematical model and bifurcation analysis, conditions under which the wild-type and mutant viruses, which compete for the same host cells, can coexist. The coexistence conditions are formulated in terms of the basic reproductive numbers of the strains, a maximum value of the mutation rate and the virulence of the pathogens. The analysis reveals that parameter space can be divided into five regions, each with distinct dynamics, that are organized around degenerate Bogdanov-Takens and zero- Hopf bifurcations, the latter of which gives rise to a curve of transcritical bifurcations of periodic orbits. These results provide new insights into the conditions by which viral populations may contain multiple coexisting strains in a stable manner.