Currency misalignments and growth

The aim of this paper is to investigate the link between currency misalignments and economic growth. Relying on panel cointegration techniques, we calculate real exchange rate (RER) misalignments as deviations of actual RERs from their equilibrium values for a set of advanced and emerging economies....

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Béreau, Sophie, Lopez Villavicencio, Antonia, Mignon, Valerie
Format: article
Publication Date:2011
Country:España
Institution:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repository:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:324212
Online Access:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/324212
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1080/00036846.2011.577022
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Growth
Exchange rate misalignments
Nonlearity
PSTR models
Description
Summary:The aim of this paper is to investigate the link between currency misalignments and economic growth. Relying on panel cointegration techniques, we calculate real exchange rate (RER) misalignments as deviations of actual RERs from their equilibrium values for a set of advanced and emerging economies. Estimating panel smooth transition regression models, we show that RER misalignments have a differentiated impact on economic growth depending on their sign: whereas overvaluations negatively affect economic growth, real exchange rate undervaluations significantly enhance it. This result indicates that undervaluations may drive the exchange rate to a level that encourages exports and promotes growth.