Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Density Estimation via Conditioning
Estimating the unknown density from which a given independent sample originates is more difficult than estimating the mean, in the sense that for the best popular non-parametric density estimators, the mean integrated square error converges more slowly than at the canonical rate of $\mathcal{O}(1/n)...
| Autores: | , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión aceptada para publicación |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2021 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Basque Center for Applied Mathematics (BCAM) |
| Repositorio: | BIRD. BCAM's Institutional Repository Data |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:bird.bcamath.org:20.500.11824/1327 |
| Acceso en línea: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11824/1327 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | density estimation conditional Monte Carlo quasi-Monte Carlo |
| Sumario: | Estimating the unknown density from which a given independent sample originates is more difficult than estimating the mean, in the sense that for the best popular non-parametric density estimators, the mean integrated square error converges more slowly than at the canonical rate of $\mathcal{O}(1/n)$. When the sample is generated from a simulation model and we have control over how this is done, we can do better. We examine an approach in which conditional Monte Carlo yields, under certain conditions, a random conditional density which is an unbiased estimator of the true density at any point. By averaging independent replications, we obtain a density estimator that converges at a faster rate than the usual ones. Moreover, combining this new type of estimator with randomized quasi-Monte Carlo to generate the samples typically brings a larger improvement on the error and convergence rate than for the usual estimators, because the new estimator is smoother as a function of the underlying uniform random numbers. |
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