Modeling and simulation of Classical Swine Fever Virus spread between and within farms
Classical swine fever is a viral disease of pigs that causes severe commercial restrictions to the affected areas. The knowledge of its spread patterns and risk factors would help to implement specific measures for controlling future outbreaks. In this article, we introduce a spatial hybrid model, b...
| Autores: | , , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2010 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM) |
| Repositorio: | Docta Complutense |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/44488 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/44488 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | 519.87:636.4 Classical swine fever Epidemiological model Individual based model Susceptible-Infected model Investigación operativa (Matemáticas) Ganado porcino 1207 Investigación Operativa 3104.08 Porcinos |
| Sumario: | Classical swine fever is a viral disease of pigs that causes severe commercial restrictions to the affected areas. The knowledge of its spread patterns and risk factors would help to implement specific measures for controlling future outbreaks. In this article, we introduce a spatial hybrid model, based on the combination of a stochastic individual based model for between-farm spread with a Susceptible-Infected model for within-farm spread, to simulate the spread of this disease in a given region. Then, this model is validated by comparing the results given by numerical experiments considering the Spanish province of Segovia with other studies based on real outbreaks. Finally, a brief sensitivity analysis of the model parameters is performed. |
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