Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production

Scenario building is a powerful tool for evaluating drivers of environmental change and assessing alternative socioecological pathways, helping integrate science-based information into decision-making. Nonetheless, this potential has not been fully embraced by scientists and decision-makers, in part...

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Autores: Borja, D., Daněk, J., Assis, J.C., Gorosábel, A., Lundquist, C., Rosa, I., Scarano, F.R., Amazonas, N.T., Principe, S.C., Alkemade, R., Arshad, A., Benavides-Gordillo, S., Lembi, R.C., Chagas, T.R.F., Rojas, D.I.C., Cornejo-Denman, L., Dib, V., Ferrier, S., Moura Lima, E., Lopes, L.F., Mancini, M.C.S., Martínez-Lanfranco, J.A., Moya, W., Niemeyer, J., Pascual, U., de Moraes, A.R., Salami, M.F., Rebella, C.R., Sanches, F.H.C., Sarkar, P., Siqueira-Gay, J., Vieira, R.R.S., Rodríguez, C.Z., Joly, C.A., Borges, R.C.
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Institución:Universidad del País Vasco
Repositorio:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
OAI Identifier:oai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/75601
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10810/75601
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:biodiversity
capacity building
Ecosystem services
modeling
nature’s contributions to people
id ES_49be06cbb0149dfeca4e9dc062be6674
oai_identifier_str oai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/75601
network_acronym_str ES
network_name_str España
repository_id_str
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production
title Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production
spellingShingle Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production
Borja, D.
biodiversity
capacity building
Ecosystem services
modeling
nature’s contributions to people
title_short Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production
title_full Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production
title_fullStr Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production
title_full_unstemmed Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production
title_sort Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-production
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Borja, D.
Daněk, J.
Assis, J.C.
Gorosábel, A.
Lundquist, C.
Rosa, I.
Scarano, F.R.
Amazonas, N.T.
Principe, S.C.
Alkemade, R.
Arshad, A.
Benavides-Gordillo, S.
Lembi, R.C.
Chagas, T.R.F.
Rojas, D.I.C.
Cornejo-Denman, L.
Dib, V.
Ferrier, S.
Moura Lima, E.
Lopes, L.F.
Mancini, M.C.S.
Martínez-Lanfranco, J.A.
Moya, W.
Niemeyer, J.
Pascual, U.
de Moraes, A.R.
Salami, M.F.
Rebella, C.R.
Sanches, F.H.C.
Sarkar, P.
Siqueira-Gay, J.
Vieira, R.R.S.
Rodríguez, C.Z.
Joly, C.A.
Borges, R.C.
author Borja, D.
author_facet Borja, D.
Daněk, J.
Assis, J.C.
Gorosábel, A.
Lundquist, C.
Rosa, I.
Scarano, F.R.
Amazonas, N.T.
Principe, S.C.
Alkemade, R.
Arshad, A.
Benavides-Gordillo, S.
Lembi, R.C.
Chagas, T.R.F.
Rojas, D.I.C.
Cornejo-Denman, L.
Dib, V.
Ferrier, S.
Moura Lima, E.
Lopes, L.F.
Mancini, M.C.S.
Martínez-Lanfranco, J.A.
Moya, W.
Niemeyer, J.
Pascual, U.
de Moraes, A.R.
Salami, M.F.
Rebella, C.R.
Sanches, F.H.C.
Sarkar, P.
Siqueira-Gay, J.
Vieira, R.R.S.
Rodríguez, C.Z.
Joly, C.A.
Borges, R.C.
author_role author
author2 Daněk, J.
Assis, J.C.
Gorosábel, A.
Lundquist, C.
Rosa, I.
Scarano, F.R.
Amazonas, N.T.
Principe, S.C.
Alkemade, R.
Arshad, A.
Benavides-Gordillo, S.
Lembi, R.C.
Chagas, T.R.F.
Rojas, D.I.C.
Cornejo-Denman, L.
Dib, V.
Ferrier, S.
Moura Lima, E.
Lopes, L.F.
Mancini, M.C.S.
Martínez-Lanfranco, J.A.
Moya, W.
Niemeyer, J.
Pascual, U.
de Moraes, A.R.
Salami, M.F.
Rebella, C.R.
Sanches, F.H.C.
Sarkar, P.
Siqueira-Gay, J.
Vieira, R.R.S.
Rodríguez, C.Z.
Joly, C.A.
Borges, R.C.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv FHCS
CAPES
National Agency for Research and Innovation
Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada
China Scholarship Council
ANII-Uruguay
Vale Institute of Technology
FAPESP
Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development
FCT
Technology Agency of the Czech Republic
Killam Trusts
ANID
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv biodiversity
capacity building
Ecosystem services
modeling
nature’s contributions to people
topic biodiversity
capacity building
Ecosystem services
modeling
nature’s contributions to people
description Scenario building is a powerful tool for evaluating drivers of environmental change and assessing alternative socioecological pathways, helping integrate science-based information into decision-making. Nonetheless, this potential has not been fully embraced by scientists and decision-makers, in part owing to limitations of current scenario frameworks at representing the diversity of values for nature and potential transformative changes to bend the biodiversity loss curve. There is still a need to further develop scientists’ capacities to include a transdisciplinary perspective in scenario building to address the drivers of transformative change. This paper addressesthese needs by reflecting on the role of scientists engaged in scenario building in the construction of sustainable futures through the lens of three key concepts: social learning, knowledge co-production and conscientização (a Portuguese term meaning to build sociopolitical awareness and take action). Drawing on a survey of participants of a Scenario Building School and a literature review, we suggest that scientists require capacity building to leverage these concepts together for the construction of transformative futures. This includes addressing power imbalances, improving inclusive and transdisciplinary participatory methods, reaching consensus and promoting action. We recommend that scientists engaged in scenario building focus on fostering transformative changes, challenging mainstream storylines, embracing diversity and addressing inequalities to pursue sustainable futures.
publishDate 2025
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025
2025
2025
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10810/75601
url http://hdl.handle.net/10810/75601
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/1PE/MDM-2017-0714
https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/26395916.2025.2507247
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/
© 2025 The Author(s).
Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/
© 2025 The Author(s).
Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Ecosystems and People
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Ecosystems and People
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
instname:Universidad del País Vasco
instname_str Universidad del País Vasco
reponame_str Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
collection Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
_version_ 1869407443026444288
spelling Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures: mobilizing conscientização, social learning and knowledge co-productionBorja, D.Daněk, J.Assis, J.C.Gorosábel, A.Lundquist, C.Rosa, I.Scarano, F.R.Amazonas, N.T.Principe, S.C.Alkemade, R.Arshad, A.Benavides-Gordillo, S.Lembi, R.C.Chagas, T.R.F.Rojas, D.I.C.Cornejo-Denman, L.Dib, V.Ferrier, S.Moura Lima, E.Lopes, L.F.Mancini, M.C.S.Martínez-Lanfranco, J.A.Moya, W.Niemeyer, J.Pascual, U.de Moraes, A.R.Salami, M.F.Rebella, C.R.Sanches, F.H.C.Sarkar, P.Siqueira-Gay, J.Vieira, R.R.S.Rodríguez, C.Z.Joly, C.A.Borges, R.C.biodiversitycapacity buildingEcosystem servicesmodelingnature’s contributions to peopleScenario building is a powerful tool for evaluating drivers of environmental change and assessing alternative socioecological pathways, helping integrate science-based information into decision-making. Nonetheless, this potential has not been fully embraced by scientists and decision-makers, in part owing to limitations of current scenario frameworks at representing the diversity of values for nature and potential transformative changes to bend the biodiversity loss curve. There is still a need to further develop scientists’ capacities to include a transdisciplinary perspective in scenario building to address the drivers of transformative change. This paper addressesthese needs by reflecting on the role of scientists engaged in scenario building in the construction of sustainable futures through the lens of three key concepts: social learning, knowledge co-production and conscientização (a Portuguese term meaning to build sociopolitical awareness and take action). Drawing on a survey of participants of a Scenario Building School and a literature review, we suggest that scientists require capacity building to leverage these concepts together for the construction of transformative futures. This includes addressing power imbalances, improving inclusive and transdisciplinary participatory methods, reaching consensus and promoting action. We recommend that scientists engaged in scenario building focus on fostering transformative changes, challenging mainstream storylines, embracing diversity and addressing inequalities to pursue sustainable futures.This study was financed in part by the Coordena\u00E7\u00E3o de Aperfei\u00E7oamento de Pessoal de N\u00EDvel Superior\u2013Brasil (CAPES)\u2013Finance Code 001. DB doctoral research is supported in part by funding from the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada and the Killam Trusts. JD acknowledges support from the Specific Academic Research project \u201CResearch on social and environmental innovations\u201D [grant number VS260471] and from the Technology Agency of the Czech Republic [grant number TL02000520]. This work was supported by FAPESP [grant number 2017/17337-9 (FHCS)]. JN received a doctoral fellowship from The Brazilian Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) [grant number 142215/2019-8]. UP is supported by the Spanish Government through Mar\u00EDa de Maeztu Excellence Accreditation 2018\u20132022 [Ref. MDM-2017-0714]. LFL is a PhD fellow funded by the FCT [PT/BD/142963/2018], under the SUSFOR\u2013Sustainable Forests and Products Doctoral Program [PD.00157.2012]. CRR acknowledges the Agencia Nacional de Investigaci\u00F3n y Desarrollo [ANID PIA/BASAL FB0002]. RCB was funded by the Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) [grant numbers 373408/2019-6, 373092/2020-2] and received a travel grant from Vale Institute of Technology. JAML is funded by the National Agency for Research and Innovation (ANII-Uruguay) and the Computational Biodiversity Science and Services Program (Bios2-Canada). AA acknowledges the support from the China Scholarship Council (CSC) and PODA-Pakistan.Ecosystems and PeopleFHCSCAPESNational Agency for Research and InnovationSocial Sciences and Humanities Research Council of CanadaChina Scholarship CouncilANII-UruguayVale Institute of TechnologyFAPESPBrazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological DevelopmentFCTTechnology Agency of the Czech RepublicKillam TrustsANID202520252025info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10810/75601reponame:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigacióninstname:Universidad del País VascoInglésinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/1PE/MDM-2017-0714https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/26395916.2025.2507247info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/© 2025 The Author(s).Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 Españaoai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/756012026-06-18T09:23:17Z
score 15.81155