Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses

Droughts are among the most significant natural hazards on a global scale, exerting considerable influence on ecosystems, economies, and societies. This comprehensive review systematically examines the pivotal function of moisture transport deficits in the genesis and progression of droughts in the...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Eiras-Barca, Jorge, Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis, Nieto, Raquel, Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Recursos:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repositorio:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/413585
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/413585
https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/105021655059
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Droughts
Moisture deficit
Moisture sources
Moisture transport
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spelling Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging HypothesesEiras-Barca, JorgeGimeno-Sotelo, LuisNieto, RaquelVicente Serrano, Sergio M.Gimeno-Sotelo, LuisDroughtsMoisture deficitMoisture sourcesMoisture transportDroughts are among the most significant natural hazards on a global scale, exerting considerable influence on ecosystems, economies, and societies. This comprehensive review systematically examines the pivotal function of moisture transport deficits in the genesis and progression of droughts in the context of climate change. We synthesize current knowledge of mechanisms that govern the advection of moisture from oceanic and terrestrial sources, emphasizing their impact on the formation of precipitation deficits and the perpetuation of protracted drought events. Furthermore, climate projections and modeling methodologies are analyzed to identify regions at high risk of intensified drought due to alterations in moisture transport. A review of recent studies confirms that deficiencies in moisture transport can amplify the severity of droughts, either by reducing direct precipitation or intensifying atmospheric evaporative demand. This work also emphasizes the need to improve drought prediction capabilities through probabilistic models and moisture tracking techniques, in order to develop mitigation and adaptation strategies in the face of a changing climate.EPhysLab members are supported by the SETESTRELO and APALPADOR projects (grants no. PID2021-122314OB-I00 and PID2024-155515NB-I00) funded by the Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades, Spain (MCIN/ 10.13039/501100011033) and by “ERDF/EU”, and Xunta de Galicia (grant ED431C2021/44; Programa de Consolidación e Estructuración de Unidades de Investigación Competitivas (Grupos de Referencia Competitiva), Consellería de Cultura, Educación e Universidade), and by “ERDF A way of making Europe.” J.E.B. thanks the Defense University Center at the Spanish Naval Academy (CUD-ENM) for the support provided for this research. The work by Luis Gimeno-Sotelo is partially financed by national funds through FCT—Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia under the projects UIDB/00006/2020, DOI: 10.54499/UIDB/00006/2020 (https://doi.org/10.54499/UIDB/00006/2020), UID/00006/2023 and project UID/00006/2025. The authors would like to thank the University of Vigo and CISUG for supporting the publication of this article under an Open Access licence. Finally, the authors would like to thank the two anonymous reviewers whose work helped to substantially improve the final version of the manuscript.Peer reviewedWiley-VCHRoyal Meteorological Society (Great Britain)Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España)Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)European CommissionXunta de GaliciaCentro Universitario de la Defensa (España)Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (Portugal)Universidad de VigoConsejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (España)Eiras-Barca, Jorge [0000-0003-4401-5944]Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis [0000-0001-9305-2325]Nieto, Raquel [0000-0002-8984-0959]Vicente Serrano, Sergio M. [0000-0003-2892-518X]Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis [0000-0002-0778-3605]Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]202620262025info:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcPublisher's versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10261/413585https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/105021655059reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSICinstname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)Inglés#PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE##PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2021-2023/PID2021-122314OB-I00info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI//PID2024-155515NB-I00https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.70030Síinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:digital.csic.es:10261/4135852026-05-22T06:33:51Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses
title Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses
spellingShingle Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses
Eiras-Barca, Jorge
Droughts
Moisture deficit
Moisture sources
Moisture transport
title_short Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses
title_full Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses
title_fullStr Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses
title_full_unstemmed Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses
title_sort Revisiting the Impact of Moisture Transport Deficit on Droughts: Prospective Climate Change Analysis and Emerging Hypotheses
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Eiras-Barca, Jorge
Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis
Nieto, Raquel
Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.
Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis
author Eiras-Barca, Jorge
author_facet Eiras-Barca, Jorge
Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis
Nieto, Raquel
Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.
author_role author
author2 Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis
Nieto, Raquel
Vicente Serrano, Sergio M.
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España)
Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España)
European Commission
Xunta de Galicia
Centro Universitario de la Defensa (España)
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (Portugal)
Universidad de Vigo
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (España)
Eiras-Barca, Jorge [0000-0003-4401-5944]
Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis [0000-0001-9305-2325]
Nieto, Raquel [0000-0002-8984-0959]
Vicente Serrano, Sergio M. [0000-0003-2892-518X]
Gimeno-Sotelo, Luis [0000-0002-0778-3605]
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Droughts
Moisture deficit
Moisture sources
Moisture transport
topic Droughts
Moisture deficit
Moisture sources
Moisture transport
description Droughts are among the most significant natural hazards on a global scale, exerting considerable influence on ecosystems, economies, and societies. This comprehensive review systematically examines the pivotal function of moisture transport deficits in the genesis and progression of droughts in the context of climate change. We synthesize current knowledge of mechanisms that govern the advection of moisture from oceanic and terrestrial sources, emphasizing their impact on the formation of precipitation deficits and the perpetuation of protracted drought events. Furthermore, climate projections and modeling methodologies are analyzed to identify regions at high risk of intensified drought due to alterations in moisture transport. A review of recent studies confirms that deficiencies in moisture transport can amplify the severity of droughts, either by reducing direct precipitation or intensifying atmospheric evaporative demand. This work also emphasizes the need to improve drought prediction capabilities through probabilistic models and moisture tracking techniques, in order to develop mitigation and adaptation strategies in the face of a changing climate.
publishDate 2025
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025
2026
2026
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bc
Publisher's version
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10261/413585
https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/105021655059
url http://hdl.handle.net/10261/413585
https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/105021655059
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#
#PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2021-2023/PID2021-122314OB-I00
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI//PID2024-155515NB-I00
https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.70030
Sí
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley-VCH
Royal Meteorological Society (Great Britain)
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley-VCH
Royal Meteorological Society (Great Britain)
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
instname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
instname_str Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
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