Short-Term Load Forecasting for Microgrids Based on Artificial Neural Networks

Electricity is indispensable and of strategic importance to national economies. Consequently, electric utilities make an effort to balance power generation and demand in order to offer a good service at a competitive price. For this purpose, these utilities need electric load forecasts to be as accu...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Hernández, Luis, Baladrón Zorita, Carlos, Aguiar Pérez, Javier Manuel, Carro Martínez, Belén, Sanchez-Esguevillas, Antonio, Lloret, Jaime|||0000-0002-0862-0533
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2013
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
Repositorio:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/43123
Acceso en línea:https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/43123
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:artificial neural network
distributed intelligence
short-term load forecasting
smart grid
microgrid
multilayer perceptron
ORGANIZACION DE EMPRESAS
INGENIERIA TELEMATICA
Descripción
Sumario:Electricity is indispensable and of strategic importance to national economies. Consequently, electric utilities make an effort to balance power generation and demand in order to offer a good service at a competitive price. For this purpose, these utilities need electric load forecasts to be as accurate as possible. However, electric load depends on many factors (day of the week, month of the year, etc.), which makes load forecasting quite a complex process requiring something other than statistical methods. This study presents an electric load forecast architectural model based on an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) that performs Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF). In this study, we present the excellent results obtained, and highlight the simplicity of the proposed model. Load forecasting was performed in a geographic location of the size of a potential microgrid, as microgrids appear to be the future of electric power supply.