A Bayesian state-space model for tool wear estimation in drilling of Inconel 718

We study the evolution of tool wear during drilling of plates of Inconel~718 under different cutting speeds. As observable variable we use the spindle motor current, so no additional sensor system is required for monitoring. We propose two Bayesian state-space models with nonlinear dynamics to descr...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Ponce Vanegas, F., Artabe, A., Polvorosa, R., Espina-Navarro, R., Fernández, A., Lopez de Lacalle, N.
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión enviada para evaluación y publicación
Fecha de publicación:2026
País:España
Institución:Basque Center for Applied Mathematics (BCAM)
Repositorio:BIRD. BCAM's Institutional Repository Data
OAI Identifier:oai:bird.bcamath.org:20.500.11824/2149
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11824/2149
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:drilling
Bayesian inference
tool wear
State-space model
degradation process
Stan
Descripción
Sumario:We study the evolution of tool wear during drilling of plates of Inconel~718 under different cutting speeds. As observable variable we use the spindle motor current, so no additional sensor system is required for monitoring. We propose two Bayesian state-space models with nonlinear dynamics to describe the system, where the latent state (tool wear) is modelled using a modified Gamma process. In our analysis, we also examine the variability from tool to tool --- which is usually neglected --- through a hierarchical model. We apply Bayesian inference to support our conclusions, and we also show a method to deal with missing information due to the difficulty measuring tool wear.