On the dynamics of social conflicts: looking for the black swan

This paper deals with the modeling of social competition, possibly resulting in the onset of extreme conflicts. More precisely, we discuss models describing the interplay between individual competition for wealth distribution that, when coupled with political stances coming from support or oppositio...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Bellomo , Nicola, Herrero, Miguel A., Tosin, Andrea
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2013
País:España
Institución:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/33339
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/33339
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:519.8
Social systems
complexity
generalized kinetic theory
active particles
stochastic games
Investigación operativa (Matemáticas)
1207 Investigación Operativa
Descripción
Sumario:This paper deals with the modeling of social competition, possibly resulting in the onset of extreme conflicts. More precisely, we discuss models describing the interplay between individual competition for wealth distribution that, when coupled with political stances coming from support or opposition to a Government, may give rise to strongly self-enhanced effects. The latter may be thought of as the early stages of massive unpredictable events known as Black Swans, although no analysis of any fully-developed Black Swan is provided here. Our approach makes use of the framework of the kinetic theory for active particles, where nonlinear interactions among subjects are modeled according to game-theoretical principles.