Seasonal Long Memory in Retail Sales in the G7 Countries.
This article examines the seasonal patterns of retail sales in the G7 nations, a key component of private consumption. Using seasonal fractional integration, we assess whether shocks present a lasting or temporary effect on retail sales trends, considering the high seasonal component. We observe mea...
| Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | article |
| Publication Date: | 2024 |
| Country: | España |
| Institution: | Universidad Francisco de Vitoria |
| Repository: | DDFV. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad Francisco de Vitoria |
| Language: | English |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ddfv.ufv.es:10641/5400 |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10641/5400 |
| Access Level: | Open access |
| Keyword: | Retail sales Seasonality G7 countries Long memory Fractional integration |
| Summary: | This article examines the seasonal patterns of retail sales in the G7 nations, a key component of private consumption. Using seasonal fractional integration, we assess whether shocks present a lasting or temporary effect on retail sales trends, considering the high seasonal component. We observe mean reversion in France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the UK, and permanent effects in the cases of Canada and USA. However, these outcomes vary based on the error term model applied. These results offer valuable information for policymakers seeking to boost consumption depending on the seasonal long memory property of the G7 countries. |
|---|