Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea

14 pages, 7 figures, 1 table, supplementary information https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9.-- Data availability: The data used in this study was obtained from bottom trawling data collated within the FishGlob60 (Accessible at https://github.com/AquaAuma/fishglob_data). The Norwegian Sea sect...

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Autores: Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc, Costello, Mark J., Coll, Marta, Jüterbock, Alexander, Reiss, Henning, Stephenson, Fabrice
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repositorio:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/365734
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/365734
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:http://metadata.un.org/sdg/14
Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development
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dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
title Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
spellingShingle Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc
http://metadata.un.org/sdg/14
Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development
title_short Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
title_full Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
title_fullStr Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
title_full_unstemmed Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
title_sort Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc
Costello, Mark J.
Coll, Marta
Jüterbock, Alexander
Reiss, Henning
Stephenson, Fabrice
author Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc
author_facet Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc
Costello, Mark J.
Coll, Marta
Jüterbock, Alexander
Reiss, Henning
Stephenson, Fabrice
author_role author
author2 Costello, Mark J.
Coll, Marta
Jüterbock, Alexander
Reiss, Henning
Stephenson, Fabrice
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España)
Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España)
Nord University
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv http://metadata.un.org/sdg/14
Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development
topic http://metadata.un.org/sdg/14
Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development
description 14 pages, 7 figures, 1 table, supplementary information https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9.-- Data availability: The data used in this study was obtained from bottom trawling data collated within the FishGlob60 (Accessible at https://github.com/AquaAuma/fishglob_data). The Norwegian Sea section of this data is no longer available in FishGlob, and needs to be directly asked for to the Norwegian Marine Data Centre (https://metadata.nmdc.no/metadata-api/landingpage/f77112db062b5924d079a54b311260fb). The environmental data used for calibrating the model came from the ‘Global Ocean Physics Reanalysis’ and the ‘Global Ocean Biogeochemistry Hindcast’ both of which were available through the Marine Copernicus repository61,62 at https://data.marine.copernicus.eu/products. Bottom depth was obtained from BioOracle63 at https://www.bio-oracle.org. The environmental data used for future projections came from the second version of the IPSL climate model (IPSL- CMIP6)67, and is fully accessible as well at https://esgf-data.dkrz.de/search/cmip6-dkrz/. World administrative boundaries polygons are available from opendatasoft, accessible at: https://public.opendatasoft.com/explore/dataset/world-administrative-boundaries/information90. The data generated in this study, and used for Figs. 3, 6 and 7 is provided in the Source Data file, while the output of all regression analysis are available in the Supplementary Data files, as well as the individual species range and biomass projections. The trait database gathered is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North91. Source data are provided with this paper.-- Code availability: Code used for this publication is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024
2024
2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10261/365734
url http://hdl.handle.net/10261/365734
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info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2020-118097RB-I00
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9
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dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Nature Publishing Group
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Nature Publishing Group
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
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spelling Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents SeaGordó-Vilaseca, FrancescCostello, Mark J.Coll, MartaJüterbock, AlexanderReiss, HenningStephenson, Fabricehttp://metadata.un.org/sdg/14Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development14 pages, 7 figures, 1 table, supplementary information https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9.-- Data availability: The data used in this study was obtained from bottom trawling data collated within the FishGlob60 (Accessible at https://github.com/AquaAuma/fishglob_data). The Norwegian Sea section of this data is no longer available in FishGlob, and needs to be directly asked for to the Norwegian Marine Data Centre (https://metadata.nmdc.no/metadata-api/landingpage/f77112db062b5924d079a54b311260fb). The environmental data used for calibrating the model came from the ‘Global Ocean Physics Reanalysis’ and the ‘Global Ocean Biogeochemistry Hindcast’ both of which were available through the Marine Copernicus repository61,62 at https://data.marine.copernicus.eu/products. Bottom depth was obtained from BioOracle63 at https://www.bio-oracle.org. The environmental data used for future projections came from the second version of the IPSL climate model (IPSL- CMIP6)67, and is fully accessible as well at https://esgf-data.dkrz.de/search/cmip6-dkrz/. World administrative boundaries polygons are available from opendatasoft, accessible at: https://public.opendatasoft.com/explore/dataset/world-administrative-boundaries/information90. The data generated in this study, and used for Figs. 3, 6 and 7 is provided in the Source Data file, while the output of all regression analysis are available in the Supplementary Data files, as well as the individual species range and biomass projections. The trait database gathered is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North91. Source data are provided with this paper.-- Code availability: Code used for this publication is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-NorthClimate warming is one of the facets of anthropogenic global change predicted to increase in the future, its magnitude depending on present-day decisions. The north Atlantic and Arctic Oceans are already undergoing community changes, with warmer-water species expanding northwards, and colder-water species retracting. However, the future extent and implications of these shifts remain unclear. Here, we fitted a joint species distribution model to occurrence data of 107, and biomass data of 61 marine fish species from 16,345 fishery independent trawls sampled between 2004 and 2022 in the northeast Atlantic Ocean, including the Barents Sea. We project overall increases in richness and declines in relative dominance in the community, and generalised increases in species’ ranges and biomass across three different future scenarios in 2050 and 2100. The projected decline of capelin and the practical extirpation of polar cod from the system, the two most abundant species in the Barents Sea, drove an overall reduction in fish biomass at Arctic latitudes that is not replaced by expanding species. Furthermore, our projections suggest that Arctic demersal fish will be at high risk of extinction by the end of the century if no climate refugia is available at eastern latitudesMC would like to acknowledge partial funding from the Spanish National Project ProOceans (PID2020−118097RB-I00) and institutional support of the ‘Severo Ochoa Centre of Excellence’ accreditation (CEX2019-000928-S). Open access funding provided by Nord UniversityPeer reviewedNature Publishing GroupMinisterio de Ciencia e Innovación (España)Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España)Nord UniversityConsejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [https://ror.org/02gfc7t72]202420242024info:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://hdl.handle.net/10261/365734reponame:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSICinstname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)Inglés#PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2020-118097RB-I00https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9Síinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:digital.csic.es:10261/3657342026-05-22T06:33:51Z
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