ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model

Predictive models provide an efficient tool for improving environmental control in livestock buildings. In this article, a robust and accurate ARIMA model for forecasting temperature inside a building for weaned piglets in the range 6 to 20 kg live weight was built. The candidate models presented in...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Besteiro, Roberto, Ortega Martínez, Juan Antonio, Arango López, Tamara, Rodríguez Rodríguez, Manuel Ramiro, Fernández Rodríguez, María Dolores
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:España
Recursos:Universidad de Santiago de Compostela (USC)
Repositorio:Minerva. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Santiago de Compostela
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:minerva.usc.gal:10347/45636
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/10347/45636
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:ARIMA
Forecast
Model
Piglet
Temperature
310408 Porcinos
310404 Cuidado y Explotación
310403 Cría
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spelling ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the modelBesteiro, RobertoOrtega Martínez, Juan AntonioArango López, TamaraRodríguez Rodríguez, Manuel RamiroFernández Rodríguez, María DoloresARIMAForecastModelPigletTemperature310408 Porcinos310404 Cuidado y Explotación310403 CríaPredictive models provide an efficient tool for improving environmental control in livestock buildings. In this article, a robust and accurate ARIMA model for forecasting temperature inside a building for weaned piglets in the range 6 to 20 kg live weight was built. The candidate models presented in this article predict 10 min values during a complete production cycle, which makes them suitable as predictive models for improving control strategies. The accuracy of the base model, which used outdoor temperature as a predictor variable, can be improved by appropriately replacing the outliers in the time series. Because accuracy increases with the increase in the number of predictor variables, the model that used four variables (temperature at the air outlet, area of the air outlet through the fan, volume of air extracted, and animal live weight) provided the best results, with a maximum absolute error of 0.840°C, a root mean square error of 0.204°C, and random residuals according to the Ljung-Box statistic. This model used only the values of the last 20 min for the forecast, which suggests low thermal inertia in the animal zone. In addition, the model includes predictor variables that are representative of outdoor conditions, operation of the systems, and animal health statusAmerican Society of Agricultural and Biological EngineersUniversidade de Santiago de Compostela. Departamento de Enxeñaría Agroforestal20172017-09-0120172017-09-01journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/10347/45636reponame:Minerva. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Santiago de Compostelainstname:Universidad de Santiago de Compostela (USC)Inglésengopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:minerva.usc.gal:10347/456362026-06-15T12:47:27Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model
title ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model
spellingShingle ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model
Besteiro, Roberto
ARIMA
Forecast
Model
Piglet
Temperature
310408 Porcinos
310404 Cuidado y Explotación
310403 Cría
title_short ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model
title_full ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model
title_fullStr ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model
title_full_unstemmed ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model
title_sort ARIMA modeling of animal zone temperature in weaned iglet buildings: Design of the model
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Besteiro, Roberto
Ortega Martínez, Juan Antonio
Arango López, Tamara
Rodríguez Rodríguez, Manuel Ramiro
Fernández Rodríguez, María Dolores
author Besteiro, Roberto
author_facet Besteiro, Roberto
Ortega Martínez, Juan Antonio
Arango López, Tamara
Rodríguez Rodríguez, Manuel Ramiro
Fernández Rodríguez, María Dolores
author_role author
author2 Ortega Martínez, Juan Antonio
Arango López, Tamara
Rodríguez Rodríguez, Manuel Ramiro
Fernández Rodríguez, María Dolores
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de Santiago de Compostela. Departamento de Enxeñaría Agroforestal
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv ARIMA
Forecast
Model
Piglet
Temperature
310408 Porcinos
310404 Cuidado y Explotación
310403 Cría
topic ARIMA
Forecast
Model
Piglet
Temperature
310408 Porcinos
310404 Cuidado y Explotación
310403 Cría
description Predictive models provide an efficient tool for improving environmental control in livestock buildings. In this article, a robust and accurate ARIMA model for forecasting temperature inside a building for weaned piglets in the range 6 to 20 kg live weight was built. The candidate models presented in this article predict 10 min values during a complete production cycle, which makes them suitable as predictive models for improving control strategies. The accuracy of the base model, which used outdoor temperature as a predictor variable, can be improved by appropriately replacing the outliers in the time series. Because accuracy increases with the increase in the number of predictor variables, the model that used four variables (temperature at the air outlet, area of the air outlet through the fan, volume of air extracted, and animal live weight) provided the best results, with a maximum absolute error of 0.840°C, a root mean square error of 0.204°C, and random residuals according to the Ljung-Box statistic. This model used only the values of the last 20 min for the forecast, which suggests low thermal inertia in the animal zone. In addition, the model includes predictor variables that are representative of outdoor conditions, operation of the systems, and animal health status
publishDate 2017
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2017
2017-09-01
2017
2017-09-01
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv journal article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
VoR
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/10347/45636
url https://hdl.handle.net/10347/45636
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
language eng
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers
publisher.none.fl_str_mv American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Minerva. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Santiago de Compostela
instname:Universidad de Santiago de Compostela (USC)
instname_str Universidad de Santiago de Compostela (USC)
reponame_str Minerva. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Santiago de Compostela
collection Minerva. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Santiago de Compostela
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score 15,812429

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