A contribution to the empirics of convergence in real GDP growth: The role of financial crises and exchange-rate regimes

This paper investigates the convergence in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth focusing on the impact of financial crises (i.e. banking crises, currency crises and debt crises) and nominal exchange rate regimes (i.e. fixed, intermediate and flexible) on convergence. To that end, we compute four...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Morales Zumaquero, Amalia, Sosvilla Rivero, Simón Javier
Tipo de recurso: informe técnico
Fecha de publicación:2014
País:España
Institución:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/41631
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/41631
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:O47
G15
F33
Convergence indicators
Financial crises
Nominal exchange-rate regimes
Crisis económicas
Desarrollo económico
Econometría (Economía)
Economía internacional
5307.06 Fluctuaciones Económicas
5307.03 Modelos y Teorías del desarrollo Económico
5307.04 Estudios del desarrollo Económico
5302 Econometría
5310 Economía Internacional
Descripción
Sumario:This paper investigates the convergence in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth focusing on the impact of financial crises (i.e. banking crises, currency crises and debt crises) and nominal exchange rate regimes (i.e. fixed, intermediate and flexible) on convergence. To that end, we compute four convergence indicators (s-convergence, g- convergence, absolute b-convergence and conditional b-convergence), for 163 countries classified into four income groups during the 1970-2011 period. Results suggest that: (i) There is evidence in favor of β-convergence and β-convergence only for high income countries; (ii) absolute and conditional β-convergence are presented in each of the four income groups of countries under study; (iii) exchange-rate regimes seem to play some role in upper-middle and lower-middle income countries; and (iv) financial crises have a negative and significant impact on GDP growth independently of the level of income of countries.