Türkiye: macro-financial situation

Rationale Türkiye is identified annually as a material country for the Spanish and euro area banking systems. Moreover, both are linked to Türkiye by major trade and financial flows. It is therefore important to monitor the country’s macro-financial situation and main weaknesses. Takeaways •The Turk...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Sánchez Pastor, Paula, Melgar Rozúa, Alejandro, Río, Pedro del
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Banco de España
Repositorio:Repositorio Institucional del Banco de España
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.bde.es:123456789/30732
Acceso en línea:https://repositorio.bde.es/handle/123456789/30732
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Turkish economy
Macroeconomic imbalances
Inflation
Current account balance
Capital flows
Monetary policy
Turkish lira
International reserves
Bank lending
Finanzas internacionales
F31
F32
F34
Descripción
Sumario:Rationale Türkiye is identified annually as a material country for the Spanish and euro area banking systems. Moreover, both are linked to Türkiye by major trade and financial flows. It is therefore important to monitor the country’s macro-financial situation and main weaknesses. Takeaways •The Turkish economy has continued to post very high, albeit slowing, inflation rates since late 2022, and economic activity has slowed, against a background of sizeable external financing needs, foreign currency debt and low international reserves. •Fiscal policy kept the country’s accounts healthy in 2022, although a significant downturn is expected in 2023. In terms of monetary policy, the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye cut the policy interest rate again in February, with the real interest rate standing at -35.2% in April. •The banking system remains healthy, although some indicators have worsened. Furthermore, to keep credit growth in check and encourage more widespread use of the lira in the financial system, the macroprudential and regulatory measures introduced in 2021 and 2022 remained in place and were strengthened.