A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease

To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynam...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Bardina i Simorra, Xavier, Ferrante, Marco, Rovira Escofet, Carles
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
OAI Identifier:oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/195310
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/195310
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:COVID-19
Anàlisi estocàstica
Models matemàtics
Analyse stochastique
Mathematical models
Descripción
Sumario:To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynamics of such diseases.