Implicit exchange regimes in Central and Eastern Europe: A first exploration

This paper attempts to identify implicit exchange rate regimes for currencies of the Central and Eastern European Countries vis-à-vis the euro. To that end, we apply a sequential procedure that considers the dynamics of exchange rates to data covering the period from 1977:01 to 2006:02. Our results...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Ledesma Rodríguez, Francisco, Pérez Rodriguez, Jorge, Sosvilla Rivero, Simón Javier
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2009
País:España
Institución:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/52415
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/52415
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:F31
F33
Exchange rate regimes
Implicit fluctuation bands
Exchange rates.
Economía internacional
5310 Economía Internacional
Descripción
Sumario:This paper attempts to identify implicit exchange rate regimes for currencies of the Central and Eastern European Countries vis-à-vis the euro. To that end, we apply a sequential procedure that considers the dynamics of exchange rates to data covering the period from 1977:01 to 2006:02. Our results would suggest that implicit bands have existed in many subperiods for almost all currencies under study. Once we detect de facto discrepancies between de facto and de iure exchange rate regimes, we propose a model in order to explain these decisions. Our results suggest a positive association between the previous inflation rate and the probability of a peg with the euro, and a negative association with past unemployment rate.