Adapting urban areas to rising temperatures

The need for cities to prepare for the increasing frequency, persistence, and intensity of heat waves (HWs) makes modeling these events essential for evaluating the effectiveness of heat adaptation strategies. We use the Pseudo Global Warming (PGW) method to project HW episodes that are simulated wi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Ventura, Sergi|||0000-0003-2529-209X, Miró, J. R., Camacho, David|||0000-0002-7844-5339, Casellas, Enric, Segura Barrero, Ricard|||0000-0003-1048-1875, Martilli, Alberto|||0000-0002-7795-5871, Villalba, Gara|||0000-0001-6392-0902
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2026
País:España
Institución:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:324143
Acceso en línea:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/324143
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102757
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Heat adaptation strategies
Heat waves
Pseudo global warming
Urban scale
Vulnerability
Descripción
Sumario:The need for cities to prepare for the increasing frequency, persistence, and intensity of heat waves (HWs) makes modeling these events essential for evaluating the effectiveness of heat adaptation strategies. We use the Pseudo Global Warming (PGW) method to project HW episodes that are simulated with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model coupled with the Building Effect Parameterization and Building Energy Model at 1 km resolution using the Metropolitan Area of Barcelona (AMB) as a case study. We assess three plausible urban adaptation strategies to reduce temperatures, heat stress and vulnerability to heat now and in mid- and late- 21st century conditions under the SSP370 radiative forcing scenario: 1) increasing rooftop albedo by white-painting all feasible rooftops; 2) implementing irrigated sedum green roofs where possible; and 3) increasing peri-urban agriculture, urban parks, and urban fraction while reducing urban forest according to the recently approved Urban Master Plan. We find that (1) provides the greatest cooling (-1.75 °C during daytime) in the most vulnerable areas, while (2) and (3) show moderate regulation (-0.37 °C and - 0.26 °C respectively) and slight nighttime warming (0.24 °C and 0.31 °C). Despite these reductions, none fully counterbalance the projected 6 °C increase by 2100, highlighting the limited capacity of adaptation strategies under severe warming scenarios and providing critical insights into effective and feasible measures to mitigate heat impacts and reduce vulnerability in urban environments.