Steps to Develop Early Warning Systems and Future Scenarios of Storm Wave-Driven Flooding Along Coral Reef-Lined Coasts

ABSTRACT: Tropical coral reef-lined coasts are exposed to storm wave-driven flooding. In the future, flood events during storms are expected to occur more frequently and to be more severe due to sea-level rise, changes in wind and weather patterns, and the deterioration of coral reefs. Hence, disast...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Winter, Gundula, Storlazzi, Curt D., Vitousek, Sean, Dongeren, Ap Van, McCall, Robert Timothy, Hoeke, Ron Karl, Skirving, William J, Marra, John J, Reyns, Johan, Aucan, Jerome, Widlansky, Matthew, Becker, Janet, Perry, Chris, Masselink, Gerd, Lowe, Ryan, Murray, Robert Ford, Pomeroy, Andrew W.M., Méndez Incera, Fernando Javier|||0000-0002-5005-1100, Rueda Zamora, Ana Cristina|||0000-0001-9383-4861, Moritz, Wandres
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Recursos:Universidad de Cantabria (UC)
Repositorio:UCrea Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de Cantabria
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.unican.es:10902/20768
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10902/20768
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Coral reef
Coast
Flooding
Sea level
Waves
Early Warning System
Climate-change scenarios
Descrição
Resumo:ABSTRACT: Tropical coral reef-lined coasts are exposed to storm wave-driven flooding. In the future, flood events during storms are expected to occur more frequently and to be more severe due to sea-level rise, changes in wind and weather patterns, and the deterioration of coral reefs. Hence, disaster managers and coastal planners are in urgent need of decision-support tools. In the short-term, these tools can be applied in Early Warning Systems (EWS) that can help to prepare for and respond to impending storm-driven flood events. In the long-term, future scenarios of flooding events enable coastal communities and managers to plan and implement adequate risk-reduction strategies. Modeling tools that are used in currently available coastal flood EWS and future scenarios have been developed for open-coast sandy shorelines, which have only limited applicability for coral reef-lined shorelines. The tools need to be able to predict local sea levels, offshore waves, as well as their nearshore transformation over the reefs, and translate this information to onshore flood levels. In addition, future scenarios require long-term projections of coral reef growth, reef composition, and shoreline change. To address these challenges, we have formed the UFORiC (Understanding Flooding of Reef-lined Coasts) working group that outlines its perspectives on data and model requirements to develop EWS for storms and scenarios specific to coral reef-lined coastlines. It reviews the state-of-the-art methods that can currently be incorporated in such systems and provides an outlook on future improvements as new data sources and enhanced methods become available.