Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE
[EN] In this work the fundamentals and application results of an uncertainty analysis of a loss of coolant and loss of cooling accident in a spent fuel pool are presented. The spent fuel pool was modeled with TRACE V5.0 Patch 5 using a VESSEL 3D component in Cartesian coordinates. A more detailed no...
| Autores: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2020 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV) |
| Repositorio: | RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/193943 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/193943 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Spent fuel pool TRACE Elastic Net LASSO regression Uncertainty analysis Wilks ESTADISTICA E INVESTIGACION OPERATIVA INGENIERIA NUCLEAR 07.- Asegurar el acceso a energías asequibles, fiables, sostenibles y modernas para todos |
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oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/193943 |
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Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACESanchez Saez, Francisco|||0000-0002-3011-9884Carlos Alberola, Sofía|||0000-0002-0637-325XVillanueva López, José Felipe|||0000-0002-7684-6884Sánchez Galdón, Ana Isabel|||0000-0002-3159-8020Martorell Alsina, Sebastián Salvador|||0000-0003-1706-4740Spent fuel poolTRACEElastic NetLASSO regressionUncertainty analysisWilksESTADISTICA E INVESTIGACION OPERATIVAINGENIERIA NUCLEAR07.- Asegurar el acceso a energías asequibles, fiables, sostenibles y modernas para todos[EN] In this work the fundamentals and application results of an uncertainty analysis of a loss of coolant and loss of cooling accident in a spent fuel pool are presented. The spent fuel pool was modeled with TRACE V5.0 Patch 5 using a VESSEL 3D component in Cartesian coordinates. A more detailed nodalization was necessary as compared with a previous study of the same accident scenario to better develop the uncertainty analysis in the framework of the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach. First, the model was calibrated using Main Yankee spent fuel pool experimental data of temperatures and flows measured in steady state conditions. Using the calibrated model, the analysis of the accident was performed considering uncertainty in boundary conditions and in all the coefficients included in the TRACE uncertainty quantification data module. The figure of merit selected in this work is the time at which the cladding oxidation reaches 0.17 times the cladding thickness before oxidation (CFR 50.46 b2). The uncertainty analysis was performed using Wilks' method and surrogate models. In particular, the Elastic Net surrogate model has demonstrated its potential not only to predict the evolution of the figure of merit in an appropriate way with lower computational effort than the Wilks' method but also its capability to identify the most relevant uncertain parameters, such as the fuel and cladding specific heats, rod internal pressure coefficient, burst temperature coefficient, a group of fluid regime heat transfer coefficients, the cladding metal-water reaction rate coefficient and the cladding tolerance for the average cores. In addition, the surrogate model provides more information of the distribution of the evolution of the figure of merit. The estimations of the 5/95 tolerance limits, both with the Wilks' method and with the surrogate models, are very similar, ranging from 30.432 to 30.461 h.The authors are grateful to the Spanish "Consejo de Seguridad Nuclear (CSN)" for the financial support they provided for Research MASA Project 2 and STN/4524/2015/640 (CAMP Project).ElsevierDepartamento de Ingeniería Química y NuclearDepartamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa Aplicadas y CalidadEscuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería IndustrialEscuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería InformáticaGrupo de Medioambiente y Seguridad Industrial. MEDASEGIConsejo de Seguridad NuclearRepositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politècnica de València Riunet20202020-06-01journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/193943reponame:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valénciainstname:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)InglésengCONSEJO DE SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR CONSEJO DE SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR STN%2F4524%2F2015%2F640 ACUERDO ESPECIFICO DE COLABORACION CSN-UPV-UPC-UPM CAMP ESPAÑACONSEJO DE SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR CONSEJO DE SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR MASA-2 METODOS AVANZADOS DE SIMULACION Y ANALISIS EN EL CAMPO DE LA SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR, SEGUNDA PARTEopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Reconocimiento - No comercial - Sin obra derivada (by-nc-nd) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:riunet.upv.es:10251/1939432026-06-13T07:49:27Z |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE |
| title |
Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE |
| spellingShingle |
Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE Sanchez Saez, Francisco|||0000-0002-3011-9884 Spent fuel pool TRACE Elastic Net LASSO regression Uncertainty analysis Wilks ESTADISTICA E INVESTIGACION OPERATIVA INGENIERIA NUCLEAR 07.- Asegurar el acceso a energías asequibles, fiables, sostenibles y modernas para todos |
| title_short |
Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE |
| title_full |
Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE |
| title_fullStr |
Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE |
| title_sort |
Uncertainty analysis of a loss of cooling and loss of coolant accident in a spent fuel pool using TRACE |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Sanchez Saez, Francisco|||0000-0002-3011-9884 Carlos Alberola, Sofía|||0000-0002-0637-325X Villanueva López, José Felipe|||0000-0002-7684-6884 Sánchez Galdón, Ana Isabel|||0000-0002-3159-8020 Martorell Alsina, Sebastián Salvador|||0000-0003-1706-4740 |
| author |
Sanchez Saez, Francisco|||0000-0002-3011-9884 |
| author_facet |
Sanchez Saez, Francisco|||0000-0002-3011-9884 Carlos Alberola, Sofía|||0000-0002-0637-325X Villanueva López, José Felipe|||0000-0002-7684-6884 Sánchez Galdón, Ana Isabel|||0000-0002-3159-8020 Martorell Alsina, Sebastián Salvador|||0000-0003-1706-4740 |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Carlos Alberola, Sofía|||0000-0002-0637-325X Villanueva López, José Felipe|||0000-0002-7684-6884 Sánchez Galdón, Ana Isabel|||0000-0002-3159-8020 Martorell Alsina, Sebastián Salvador|||0000-0003-1706-4740 |
| author2_role |
author author author author |
| dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Departamento de Ingeniería Química y Nuclear Departamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa Aplicadas y Calidad Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Industrial Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Informática Grupo de Medioambiente y Seguridad Industrial. MEDASEGI Consejo de Seguridad Nuclear Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politècnica de València Riunet |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Spent fuel pool TRACE Elastic Net LASSO regression Uncertainty analysis Wilks ESTADISTICA E INVESTIGACION OPERATIVA INGENIERIA NUCLEAR 07.- Asegurar el acceso a energías asequibles, fiables, sostenibles y modernas para todos |
| topic |
Spent fuel pool TRACE Elastic Net LASSO regression Uncertainty analysis Wilks ESTADISTICA E INVESTIGACION OPERATIVA INGENIERIA NUCLEAR 07.- Asegurar el acceso a energías asequibles, fiables, sostenibles y modernas para todos |
| description |
[EN] In this work the fundamentals and application results of an uncertainty analysis of a loss of coolant and loss of cooling accident in a spent fuel pool are presented. The spent fuel pool was modeled with TRACE V5.0 Patch 5 using a VESSEL 3D component in Cartesian coordinates. A more detailed nodalization was necessary as compared with a previous study of the same accident scenario to better develop the uncertainty analysis in the framework of the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach. First, the model was calibrated using Main Yankee spent fuel pool experimental data of temperatures and flows measured in steady state conditions. Using the calibrated model, the analysis of the accident was performed considering uncertainty in boundary conditions and in all the coefficients included in the TRACE uncertainty quantification data module. The figure of merit selected in this work is the time at which the cladding oxidation reaches 0.17 times the cladding thickness before oxidation (CFR 50.46 b2). The uncertainty analysis was performed using Wilks' method and surrogate models. In particular, the Elastic Net surrogate model has demonstrated its potential not only to predict the evolution of the figure of merit in an appropriate way with lower computational effort than the Wilks' method but also its capability to identify the most relevant uncertain parameters, such as the fuel and cladding specific heats, rod internal pressure coefficient, burst temperature coefficient, a group of fluid regime heat transfer coefficients, the cladding metal-water reaction rate coefficient and the cladding tolerance for the average cores. In addition, the surrogate model provides more information of the distribution of the evolution of the figure of merit. The estimations of the 5/95 tolerance limits, both with the Wilks' method and with the surrogate models, are very similar, ranging from 30.432 to 30.461 h. |
| publishDate |
2020 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2020 2020-06-01 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
journal article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 VoR http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
| dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| format |
article |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/193943 |
| url |
https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/193943 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
Inglés eng |
| language_invalid_str_mv |
Inglés |
| language |
eng |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
CONSEJO DE SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR CONSEJO DE SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR STN%2F4524%2F2015%2F640 ACUERDO ESPECIFICO DE COLABORACION CSN-UPV-UPC-UPM CAMP ESPAÑA CONSEJO DE SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR CONSEJO DE SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR MASA-2 METODOS AVANZADOS DE SIMULACION Y ANALISIS EN EL CAMPO DE LA SEGURIDAD NUCLEAR, SEGUNDA PARTE |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Reconocimiento - No comercial - Sin obra derivada (by-nc-nd) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Reconocimiento - No comercial - Sin obra derivada (by-nc-nd) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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openAccess |
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application/pdf application/pdf |
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier |
| publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Elsevier |
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reponame:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia instname:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV) |
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Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV) |
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RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia |
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RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia |
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15,301603 |