A machine learning-based methodology for multi-parametric solution of chemical processes operation optimization under uncertainty

Chemical process operation optimization aims at obtaining the optimal operating set-points by real-time solution of an optimization problem that embeds a steady-state model of the process. This task is challenged by unavoidable Uncertain Parameters (UPs) variations. MultiParametric Programming (MPP)...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Shokry Abdelaleem Taha Zied, Ahmed, Medina González, Sergio, Baraldi, Piero, Zio, Enrico, Moulines, Eric François Victor, Espuña Camarasa, Antonio|||0000-0002-1238-8108
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/360198
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/360198
https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cej.2021.131632
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Chemical processes
Operation optimization
Uncertainty
Multiparametric programming
Machine learning
Kriging
Gaussian process regression
Processos químics
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria química
Descripción
Sumario:Chemical process operation optimization aims at obtaining the optimal operating set-points by real-time solution of an optimization problem that embeds a steady-state model of the process. This task is challenged by unavoidable Uncertain Parameters (UPs) variations. MultiParametric Programming (MPP) is an approach for solving this challenge, where the optimal set-points must be updated online, reacting to sudden changes in the UPs. MPP provides algebraic functions describing the optimal solution as a function of the UPs, which allows alleviating large computational cost required for solving the optimization problem each time the UPs values vary. However, MPP applicability requires a well-constructed mathematical model of the process, which is not suited for process operation optimization, where complex, highly nonlinear and/or black-box models are usually used. To tackle this issue, this paper proposes a machine learning-based methodology for multiparametric solution of continuous optimization problems. The methodology relies on the offline development of data-driven models that accurately approximate the multiparametric behavior of the optimal solution over the UPs space. The models are developed using data generated by running the optimization using the original complex process model under different UPs values. The models are, then, used online to, quickly, predict the optimal solutions in response to UPs variation. The methodology is applied to benchmark examples and two case studies of process operation optimization. The results demonstrate the methodology effectiveness in terms of high prediction accuracy (less than 1% of NRMSE, in most cases), robustness to deal with problems of different natures (linear, bilinear, quadratic, nonlinear and/or black boxes) and significant reduction in the complexity of the solution procedure compared to traditional approaches (a minimum of 67% reduction in the optimization time).