The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships

Tree-growth-climate relationships are usually assumed to have a stationary character, i.e., continuous and/or time-independent, along the lifetime of the trees. The fact that non-stationarity, i.e., discontinuous and/or time-variable, is more likely to actually be their general rule, has been often...

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Autores: Heres, A. M., Polanco-Martínez, J.M., Petritan, I. C., Petritan, A. M., Curiel Yuste, J.
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:España
Institución:Universidad del País Vasco
Repositorio:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
OAI Identifier:oai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/59847
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10810/59847
Access Level:acceso embargado
Palabra clave:Conifers
Dendrochronology
Non-stationary
Stationary
Tree-growth-climate relationships
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repository_id_str
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships
title The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships
spellingShingle The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships
Heres, A. M.
Conifers
Dendrochronology
Non-stationary
Stationary
Tree-growth-climate relationships
title_short The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships
title_full The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships
title_fullStr The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships
title_full_unstemmed The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships
title_sort The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationships
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Heres, A. M.
Polanco-Martínez, J.M.
Petritan, I. C.
Petritan, A. M.
Curiel Yuste, J.
author Heres, A. M.
author_facet Heres, A. M.
Polanco-Martínez, J.M.
Petritan, I. C.
Petritan, A. M.
Curiel Yuste, J.
author_role author
author2 Polanco-Martínez, J.M.
Petritan, I. C.
Petritan, A. M.
Curiel Yuste, J.
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Conifers
Dendrochronology
Non-stationary
Stationary
Tree-growth-climate relationships
topic Conifers
Dendrochronology
Non-stationary
Stationary
Tree-growth-climate relationships
description Tree-growth-climate relationships are usually assumed to have a stationary character, i.e., continuous and/or time-independent, along the lifetime of the trees. The fact that non-stationarity, i.e., discontinuous and/or time-variable, is more likely to actually be their general rule, has been often neglected in dendrochronology. Nine silver fir, black pine and Scots pine residual ring-width index chronologies (RWIresidual) and five precipitation- and temperature-derived seasonal climatic variables, covering the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st one, were used in this study. Heat map analyses based on rolling window correlations, using corrected p-values in order to deal with the type I errors (i.e., the multiple testing or comparison problem) and reduce them, were conducted to evaluate the evolution and stability of tree-growth-climate relationships along the lifetime of the trees, i.e., their stationary and/or non-stationary character. The obtained results showed that stationary tree-growth-climate relationships were well conserved within trees belonging to a given genus: positive effects, both at young and mature stages, of Twinter (winter temperature) on the Abies trees and of Psprsum(t) (spring-summer precipitation of the current-to-growth year) on the Pinus trees. Non-stationary tree-growth-climate relationships were instead species- and site-dependent and stopped in the 1970s/1980s/1990s. Growth decoupling from seasonal climatic variables was linked in many cases with climatic anomalies but the obtained results did not yield a general rule in this regard. Heat map analyses based on rolling window correlations proved to be a powerful statistical tool in disentangling between the stationary and/or non-stationary character of the tree-growth-climate relationships. Summarizing, this study puts into perspective the critical aspect of looking at the stationary and/or non-stationary character of the tree-growth-climate relationships if we want to better predict the impact of climate change on the future forest tree growth and dynamics based on past tree-growth-climate relationships
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022
2023
2023
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10810/59847
url http://hdl.handle.net/10810/59847
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109146
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/
© Copyright 2022 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España
eu_rights_str_mv embargoedAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/
© Copyright 2022 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
instname:Universidad del País Vasco
instname_str Universidad del País Vasco
reponame_str Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
collection Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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spelling The stationary and non-stationary character of the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine tree-growth-climate relationshipsHeres, A. M.Polanco-Martínez, J.M.Petritan, I. C.Petritan, A. M.Curiel Yuste, J.ConifersDendrochronologyNon-stationaryStationaryTree-growth-climate relationshipsTree-growth-climate relationships are usually assumed to have a stationary character, i.e., continuous and/or time-independent, along the lifetime of the trees. The fact that non-stationarity, i.e., discontinuous and/or time-variable, is more likely to actually be their general rule, has been often neglected in dendrochronology. Nine silver fir, black pine and Scots pine residual ring-width index chronologies (RWIresidual) and five precipitation- and temperature-derived seasonal climatic variables, covering the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st one, were used in this study. Heat map analyses based on rolling window correlations, using corrected p-values in order to deal with the type I errors (i.e., the multiple testing or comparison problem) and reduce them, were conducted to evaluate the evolution and stability of tree-growth-climate relationships along the lifetime of the trees, i.e., their stationary and/or non-stationary character. The obtained results showed that stationary tree-growth-climate relationships were well conserved within trees belonging to a given genus: positive effects, both at young and mature stages, of Twinter (winter temperature) on the Abies trees and of Psprsum(t) (spring-summer precipitation of the current-to-growth year) on the Pinus trees. Non-stationary tree-growth-climate relationships were instead species- and site-dependent and stopped in the 1970s/1980s/1990s. Growth decoupling from seasonal climatic variables was linked in many cases with climatic anomalies but the obtained results did not yield a general rule in this regard. Heat map analyses based on rolling window correlations proved to be a powerful statistical tool in disentangling between the stationary and/or non-stationary character of the tree-growth-climate relationships. Summarizing, this study puts into perspective the critical aspect of looking at the stationary and/or non-stationary character of the tree-growth-climate relationships if we want to better predict the impact of climate change on the future forest tree growth and dynamics based on past tree-growth-climate relationshipsWe thank the Forest District staff of Sacele, Kronstadt, Rasnov, Teliu, Codlea and Intorsura Buzaului for all their support during the fieldwork and for allowing us to access their Forest Management Plans. This work was supported by different projects granted by the Romanian Ministry of Research, Innovation and Digitization, CNCS/CCCDI – UEFISCDI: PN-II-RU-TE-2014-4-0791 (TREEMORIS), PN-III-P1-1.1-PD-2016-0583 (NATIvE), PN-III-P1-1.1-TE-2019-1099 (REASONING) and PN-III-P4-ID-PCE-2020-2696 (DeWooD). This work was also supported by the BERC 2018-2021 (Basque Government) and by the BC3 María de Maeztu Excellence Accreditation 2018-2022, Ref. MDM-2017-0714 (Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities). JMPM acknowledges funding support from the SEPE (Spanish National Employment Service), the Junta de Castilla y León and the European Regional Development Fund (grant CLU-2019-03). We very much appreciate all the critical help that we received during the field and laboratory campaigns from Ionela-Mirela Medrea, Andrei Apafaian, Cosmin Zgremţia, Maria Băluţ and Florin Dinulică. The designer Luiza Anamaria Pop (©2020) drew the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine figures that appear in the graphical abstract and processed them in Adobe Illustrator® CS5 (v. 15.0.0). These figures are reproduced with her permission. We thank the Forest District staff of Sacele, Kronstadt, Rasnov, Teliu, Codlea and Intorsura Buzaului for all their support during the fieldwork and for allowing us to access their Forest Management Plans. This work was supported by different projects granted by the Romanian Ministry of Research, Innovation and Digitization, CNCS/CCCDI – UEFISCDI: PN-II-RU-TE-2014-4-0791 (TREEMORIS), PN-III-P1-1.1-PD-2016-0583 (NATIvE), PN-III-P1-1.1-TE-2019-1099 (REASONING) and PN-III-P4-ID-PCE-2020-2696 (DeWooD). This work was also supported by the BERC 2018-2021 (Basque Government) and by the BC3 María de Maeztu Excellence Accreditation 2018-2022, Ref. MDM-2017-0714 (Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities). JMPM acknowledges funding support from the SEPE (Spanish National Employment Service), the Junta de Castilla y León and the European Regional Development Fund (grant CLU-2019-03). We very much appreciate all the critical help that we received during the field and laboratory campaigns from Ionela-Mirela Medrea, Andrei Apafaian, Cosmin Zgremţia, Maria Băluţ and Florin Dinulică. The designer Luiza Anamaria Pop (©2020) drew the silver fir, black pine and Scots pine figures that appear in the graphical abstract and processed them in Adobe Illustrator® CS5 (v. 15.0.0). These figures are reproduced with her permission.BERC, Spanish National Employment Service, CNCS, Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities, Romanian Ministry of Research, Innovation and Digitization, Basque Government, UEFISCDI, Junta de Castilla y León, European Regional Development Fund, CCCDIAgricultural and Forest Meteorology202320232022info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10810/59847reponame:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigacióninstname:Universidad del País VascoIngléshttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109146info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/© Copyright 2022 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 Españaoai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/598472026-06-18T09:23:17Z
score 15,301603

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