Persistence in Consumption Across Europe: Evidence Using Fractional Integration

This paper employs fractional integration methods to investigate the degree of persistence in consumption in a group of 33 European countries using data on annual final consumption expenditure of households and non-profit institutions serving households for the period 1960-2021. The results show no...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Gil-Alana, Luis A., López Martínez, Gema
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Institución:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/126201
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/126201
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:658.8
C22
E21
F41
O53
Consumption, Europe, Fractional integration
Persistence
Marketing
5304.01 Consumo, Ahorro, Inversión
Descripción
Sumario:This paper employs fractional integration methods to investigate the degree of persistence in consumption in a group of 33 European countries using data on annual final consumption expenditure of households and non-profit institutions serving households for the period 1960-2021. The results show no evidence of mean reversion in consumption levels over time, as all the series are fractionally integrated. This indicates very high levels of persistence. Special attention should be paid to several southern European countries, which present some of the highest degrees of integration. This suggests that shocks or changes in the consumption levels in these economies, whether positive or negative, tend to have a more enduring impact compared to other parts of Europe.