Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms

Lin Ye, Jue|||0000-0003-4970-1345; García León, Manuel|||0000-0001-6498-1440; Gracia García, Vicente|||0000-0002-4628-426X; Ortego Martínez, María Isabel|||0000-0001-9437-9354; Lionello, Piero|||0000-0002-0779-5681; Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, Agustín|||0000-0002-3450-6697

Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms

Extreme events, such as wave-storms, need to be characterized for coastal infrastructure design purposes. Such description should contain information on both the univariate behaviour and the joint-dependence of storm-variables. These two aspects have been here addressed through generalized Pareto di...

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Autores:	Lin Ye, Jue\|\|\|0000-0003-4970-1345, García León, Manuel\|\|\|0000-0001-6498-1440, Gracia García, Vicente\|\|\|0000-0002-4628-426X, Ortego Martínez, María Isabel\|\|\|0000-0001-9437-9354, Lionello, Piero\|\|\|0000-0002-0779-5681, Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, Agustín\|\|\|0000-0002-3450-6697
Tipo de recurso:	artículo
Fecha de publicación:	2017
País:	España
Institución:	Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:	UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:	inglés
OAI Identifier:	oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/103920
Acceso en línea:	https://hdl.handle.net/2117/103920 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2017.04.009
Access Level:	acceso abierto
Palabra clave:	Storms--Forecasting Storms--Statistical methods Wave storm Catalan Coast Hierarchical Archimedean copula Generalized Pareto distribution Non-stationarity Generalized additive model Tempestes Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes

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spelling	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine stormsLin Ye, Jue\|\|\|0000-0003-4970-1345García León, Manuel\|\|\|0000-0001-6498-1440Gracia García, Vicente\|\|\|0000-0002-4628-426XOrtego Martínez, María Isabel\|\|\|0000-0001-9437-9354Lionello, Piero\|\|\|0000-0002-0779-5681Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, Agustín\|\|\|0000-0002-3450-6697Storms--ForecastingStorms--Statistical methodsWave stormCatalan CoastHierarchical Archimedean copulaGeneralized Pareto distributionNon-stationarityGeneralized additive modelTempestesÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costesExtreme events, such as wave-storms, need to be characterized for coastal infrastructure design purposes. Such description should contain information on both the univariate behaviour and the joint-dependence of storm-variables. These two aspects have been here addressed through generalized Pareto distributions and hierarchical Archimedean copulas. A non-stationary model has been used to highlight the relationship between these extreme events and non-stationary climate. It has been applied to a Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 Climate-Change scenario, for a fetch-limited environment (Catalan Coast). In the non-stationary model, all considered variables decrease in time, except for storm-duration at the northern part of the Catalan Coast. The joint distribution of storm variables presents cyclical fluctuations, with a stronger influence of climate dynamics than of climate itself.Peer Reviewed20172017-04-0120172017-05-02journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501AMhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aainfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2117/103920https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2017.04.009reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCinstname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)InglésengEuropean Commission http://doi.org/10.13039/100010661 Horizon 2020 Framework Programme 730030 Copernicus Evolution and Aplications with Sentinel Enhancements and Land Effluents for Shores and Seasopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Spainhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/1039202026-05-27T15:37:01Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms
title	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms
spellingShingle	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms Lin Ye, Jue\|\|\|0000-0003-4970-1345 Storms--Forecasting Storms--Statistical methods Wave storm Catalan Coast Hierarchical Archimedean copula Generalized Pareto distribution Non-stationarity Generalized additive model Tempestes Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
title_short	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms
title_full	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms
title_fullStr	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms
title_full_unstemmed	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms
title_sort	Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv	Lin Ye, Jue\|\|\|0000-0003-4970-1345 García León, Manuel\|\|\|0000-0001-6498-1440 Gracia García, Vicente\|\|\|0000-0002-4628-426X Ortego Martínez, María Isabel\|\|\|0000-0001-9437-9354 Lionello, Piero\|\|\|0000-0002-0779-5681 Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, Agustín\|\|\|0000-0002-3450-6697
author	Lin Ye, Jue\|\|\|0000-0003-4970-1345
author_facet	Lin Ye, Jue\|\|\|0000-0003-4970-1345 García León, Manuel\|\|\|0000-0001-6498-1440 Gracia García, Vicente\|\|\|0000-0002-4628-426X Ortego Martínez, María Isabel\|\|\|0000-0001-9437-9354 Lionello, Piero\|\|\|0000-0002-0779-5681 Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, Agustín\|\|\|0000-0002-3450-6697
author_role	author
author2	García León, Manuel\|\|\|0000-0001-6498-1440 Gracia García, Vicente\|\|\|0000-0002-4628-426X Ortego Martínez, María Isabel\|\|\|0000-0001-9437-9354 Lionello, Piero\|\|\|0000-0002-0779-5681 Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, Agustín\|\|\|0000-0002-3450-6697
author2_role	author author author author author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv	Storms--Forecasting Storms--Statistical methods Wave storm Catalan Coast Hierarchical Archimedean copula Generalized Pareto distribution Non-stationarity Generalized additive model Tempestes Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
topic	Storms--Forecasting Storms--Statistical methods Wave storm Catalan Coast Hierarchical Archimedean copula Generalized Pareto distribution Non-stationarity Generalized additive model Tempestes Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria civil::Enginyeria hidràulica, marítima i sanitària::Ports i costes
description	Extreme events, such as wave-storms, need to be characterized for coastal infrastructure design purposes. Such description should contain information on both the univariate behaviour and the joint-dependence of storm-variables. These two aspects have been here addressed through generalized Pareto distributions and hierarchical Archimedean copulas. A non-stationary model has been used to highlight the relationship between these extreme events and non-stationary climate. It has been applied to a Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 Climate-Change scenario, for a fetch-limited environment (Catalan Coast). In the non-stationary model, all considered variables decrease in time, except for storm-duration at the northern part of the Catalan Coast. The joint distribution of storm variables presents cyclical fluctuations, with a stronger influence of climate dynamics than of climate itself.
publishDate	2017
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv	2017 2017-04-01 2017 2017-05-02
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv	journal article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 AM http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv	info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format	article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv	https://hdl.handle.net/2117/103920 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2017.04.009
url	https://hdl.handle.net/2117/103920 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2017.04.009
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv	Inglés eng
language_invalid_str_mv	Inglés
language	eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv	European Commission http://doi.org/10.13039/100010661 Horizon 2020 Framework Programme 730030 Copernicus Evolution and Aplications with Sentinel Enhancements and Land Effluents for Shores and Seas
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv	open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Spain http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv	open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Spain http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
eu_rights_str_mv	openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv	application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv	reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC instname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
instname_str	Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
reponame_str	UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
collection	UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score	15.300724

Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms

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