Getting life expectancy estimates right for pension policy: period versus cohort approach

In many policy areas it is essential to use the best estimates of life expectancy, but it is vital to most areas of pension policy. This paper presents the conceptual differences between static period and dynamic cohort mortality tables, estimates the differences in life expectancy for Portugal and...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Ayuso, Mercedes, Bravo, Jorge Miguel, Holzmann, Robert
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
OAI Identifier:oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/175751
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/175751
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Esperança de vida
Pensions a la vellesa
Risc (Economia)
Estadística demogràfica
Mètode comparatiu
Life expectancy
Old age pensions
Risk
Vital statistics
Comparative method
Descripción
Sumario:In many policy areas it is essential to use the best estimates of life expectancy, but it is vital to most areas of pension policy. This paper presents the conceptual differences between static period and dynamic cohort mortality tables, estimates the differences in life expectancy for Portugal and Spain, and compares official estimates of both life expectancy estimates for Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States for 1981, 2010, and 2060. These comparisons reveal major differences between period and cohort life expectancy in and between countries and across years. The implications of using wrong estimates for pension policy, including financial sustainability, are explored