Modelling Domestic Water Use in Metropolitan Areas Using Socio-Cognitive Agents

[EN] In this paper, we present an agent-based model for exploring the interplay of basic structural and socio-cognitive factors and conventional water saving measures in the evolution of domestic water use in metropolitan areas. Using data of Barcelona, we discuss three scenarios that involve plausi...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Perello-Moragues, Antoni, Poch, Manel, Saurí, David, Popartan, Lucia Alexandra, Noriega, Pablo
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Recursos:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repositorio:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/239250
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/239250
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Agent-based modelling
Policy-design tools
Scenario simulation
Water use modelling
Socio-hydrology
Descrição
Resumo:[EN] In this paper, we present an agent-based model for exploring the interplay of basic structural and socio-cognitive factors and conventional water saving measures in the evolution of domestic water use in metropolitan areas. Using data of Barcelona, we discuss three scenarios that involve plausible demographic and cultural trends. Results show that, in the three scenarios, aggregate outcomes are consistent with available conventional modelling (while total water use grows, per capita water use declines); however, the agent-based simulation also reveals, for each scenario, the different dynamics of simple policy measures with population growth, cultural trends and social influence; thus providing unexpected insights for policy design.