Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin

[EN] Floods are one of the natural hazards that could be most affected by climate change, causing great economic damage and casualties in the world. On December 2019 in Reinosa (Cantabria, Spain), took place one of the worst floods in memory. Implementation of DIRECTIVE 2007/60/EC for the assessment...

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Autores: LASTRADA MARCÉN, JOSÉ EDUARDO, Cobos Campos, Guillermo|||0000-0003-2810-9879, Torrijo, F.J.|||0000-0001-6048-6792
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
Repositorio:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/144082
Acceso en línea:https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/144082
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Climate model projections
Flood risk
Flood hazard
Reinosa
Climate change prioritization
INGENIERIA DEL TERRENO
13.- Tomar medidas urgentes para combatir el cambio climático y sus efectos
11.- Conseguir que las ciudades y los asentamientos humanos sean inclusivos, seguros, resilientes y sostenibles
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spelling Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River BasinLASTRADA MARCÉN, JOSÉ EDUARDOCobos Campos, Guillermo|||0000-0003-2810-9879Torrijo, F.J.|||0000-0001-6048-6792Climate model projectionsFlood riskFlood hazardReinosaClimate change prioritizationINGENIERIA DEL TERRENO13.- Tomar medidas urgentes para combatir el cambio climático y sus efectos11.- Conseguir que las ciudades y los asentamientos humanos sean inclusivos, seguros, resilientes y sostenibles[EN] Floods are one of the natural hazards that could be most affected by climate change, causing great economic damage and casualties in the world. On December 2019 in Reinosa (Cantabria, Spain), took place one of the worst floods in memory. Implementation of DIRECTIVE 2007/60/EC for the assessment and management of flood risks in Spain enabled the detection of this river basin with a potential significant flood risk via a preliminary flood risk assessment, and flood hazard and flood risk maps were developed. The main objective of this paper is to present a methodology to estimate climate change¿s effects on flood hazard and flood risk, with Reinosa as the case study. This river basin is affected by the snow phenomenon, even more sensitive to climate change. Using different climate models, regarding a scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions (RCP8.5), with daily temperature and precipitation data from years 2007¿2070, and comparing results in relative terms, flow rate and flood risk variation due to climate change are estimated. In the specific case of Reinosa, the MRI-CGCM3 model shows that climate change will cause a significant increase of potential affected inhabitants and economic damage due to flood risk. This evaluation enables us to define mitigation actions in terms of cost¿benefit analysis and prioritize the ones that should be included in flood risk management plans.MDPI AGDepartamento de Ingeniería del TerrenoEscuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería de Caminos, Canales y PuertosCentro de Investigación en Arquitectura, Patrimonio y Gestion para el desarrollo SostenibleRepositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politècnica de València Riunet20202020-04-14journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/144082reponame:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valénciainstname:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)InglésengAgencia Estatal de Investigación http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020 RTI2018-095302-B-I00 LA ARQUITECTURA DE TIERRA EN LA PENINSULA IBERICA: ESTUDIO DE LOS RIESGOS NATURALES, SOCIALES Y ANTROPICOS Y ESTRATEGIAS DE INTERVENCION E INCREMENTO DE LA RESILIENCIAopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Reconocimiento (by)http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:riunet.upv.es:10251/1440822026-06-13T07:49:27Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin
title Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin
spellingShingle Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin
LASTRADA MARCÉN, JOSÉ EDUARDO
Climate model projections
Flood risk
Flood hazard
Reinosa
Climate change prioritization
INGENIERIA DEL TERRENO
13.- Tomar medidas urgentes para combatir el cambio climático y sus efectos
11.- Conseguir que las ciudades y los asentamientos humanos sean inclusivos, seguros, resilientes y sostenibles
title_short Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin
title_full Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin
title_fullStr Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin
title_sort Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv LASTRADA MARCÉN, JOSÉ EDUARDO
Cobos Campos, Guillermo|||0000-0003-2810-9879
Torrijo, F.J.|||0000-0001-6048-6792
author LASTRADA MARCÉN, JOSÉ EDUARDO
author_facet LASTRADA MARCÉN, JOSÉ EDUARDO
Cobos Campos, Guillermo|||0000-0003-2810-9879
Torrijo, F.J.|||0000-0001-6048-6792
author_role author
author2 Cobos Campos, Guillermo|||0000-0003-2810-9879
Torrijo, F.J.|||0000-0001-6048-6792
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Departamento de Ingeniería del Terreno
Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería de Caminos, Canales y Puertos
Centro de Investigación en Arquitectura, Patrimonio y Gestion para el desarrollo Sostenible
Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politècnica de València Riunet
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Climate model projections
Flood risk
Flood hazard
Reinosa
Climate change prioritization
INGENIERIA DEL TERRENO
13.- Tomar medidas urgentes para combatir el cambio climático y sus efectos
11.- Conseguir que las ciudades y los asentamientos humanos sean inclusivos, seguros, resilientes y sostenibles
topic Climate model projections
Flood risk
Flood hazard
Reinosa
Climate change prioritization
INGENIERIA DEL TERRENO
13.- Tomar medidas urgentes para combatir el cambio climático y sus efectos
11.- Conseguir que las ciudades y los asentamientos humanos sean inclusivos, seguros, resilientes y sostenibles
description [EN] Floods are one of the natural hazards that could be most affected by climate change, causing great economic damage and casualties in the world. On December 2019 in Reinosa (Cantabria, Spain), took place one of the worst floods in memory. Implementation of DIRECTIVE 2007/60/EC for the assessment and management of flood risks in Spain enabled the detection of this river basin with a potential significant flood risk via a preliminary flood risk assessment, and flood hazard and flood risk maps were developed. The main objective of this paper is to present a methodology to estimate climate change¿s effects on flood hazard and flood risk, with Reinosa as the case study. This river basin is affected by the snow phenomenon, even more sensitive to climate change. Using different climate models, regarding a scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions (RCP8.5), with daily temperature and precipitation data from years 2007¿2070, and comparing results in relative terms, flow rate and flood risk variation due to climate change are estimated. In the specific case of Reinosa, the MRI-CGCM3 model shows that climate change will cause a significant increase of potential affected inhabitants and economic damage due to flood risk. This evaluation enables us to define mitigation actions in terms of cost¿benefit analysis and prioritize the ones that should be included in flood risk management plans.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020
2020-04-14
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv journal article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
VoR
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/144082
url https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/144082
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Agencia Estatal de Investigación http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020 RTI2018-095302-B-I00 LA ARQUITECTURA DE TIERRA EN LA PENINSULA IBERICA: ESTUDIO DE LOS RIESGOS NATURALES, SOCIALES Y ANTROPICOS Y ESTRATEGIAS DE INTERVENCION E INCREMENTO DE LA RESILIENCIA
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Reconocimiento (by)
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Reconocimiento (by)
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI AG
publisher.none.fl_str_mv MDPI AG
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
instname:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
instname_str Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
reponame_str RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
collection RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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score 15.301603

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